Archive for the ‘Finance and Mortgage’ Category

Great Mortgage Blog I Found

I just ran across a really good mortgage blog that I hadn’t seen before,  Mike’s Mortgage Minute.  Mike really shows his strong sense of human decency (in marketspeak, we say “consumer oriented focus”) in  his post, No Sersiously.  Thinking one great post might be a fluke, I scrolled down to The System and found the same compelling prose and a man with a very well developed BS dectector indeed. 

Apropos nothing, he’s also worked with the same software I use all the time to blog with, Windows Live Writer.

He’s worth a read.  Go check him out.

Credit Repair Begins at Home?

I attended a seminar put on by the folks at Strategic Credit Coach on Friday. Their seminar was a lot better than their web site (http://www.strategiccreditcoach.com), on which I don’t have permission to access /.No, and I shouldn’t need permission to access /. That’s what index.html is for. Or whatever else is specified in httpd.conf. Trust me on this one.

The seminar was a mixed bag. On the one hand, there was a lot of good information about the importance of good credit, and how to go about improving one’s credit score. It gave me a strong desire to check out, begin monitoring, and improving my own credit scores, and to think about how I might help clients in a similar situation. However, it left me somewhat skeptical about the credit coaching business. On the negative side, the biggest thing that caught my eyes were the fees involved, which are probably reasonable given the level of coaching and effort provided, but still problematic, I thought. For six months of credit coaching and repair efforts, this company charges $995 for an individual, or $1495 for an individual with spouse. The first thing I thought of when I saw that was than anyone with a real need for the program probably didn’t have that kind of money. In retrospect I wish I’d ask them when they charge those fees, in light of the fact that they’re not supposed to do it up front. (See Title IV of the Consumer Credit Protection Act regarding Credit Repair Organizations).

I would urge anyone who’s looking to improve their credit to make this FTC article “Credit Repair: Self Help May Be Best” your first stop. I know in my case, my financial situation always tends to improve markedly whenever I pay enough attention to it. In looking over the wealth of other materials on other web sites (and even a few articles on this one), I feel a separate article on Credit Improvement Resources beginning to gel. Stay tuned.

No, Everybody Doesn’t Do Loan Fraud

A seller of mine received an offer recently with the following clause in it:

Seller to contribute 10,000 referral fee to [deleted] Financial at close of escrow.

Where do I begin? According to the attorney I spoke to (disclaimer: I am not a lawyer), believe it or not this may not be a RESPA violation according to the letter of the law, inasmuch as it’s not one settlement provider providing a kickback to another settlement provider, but one of the parties to the transaction doing the kickback. However, this certainly violates the spirit of RESPA, the intent of which was to lower consumers’ settlement costs.

As it turns out, however, the purpose of this “referral fee”, was to refund cash to the buyer. As the lawyer was nice enough to confirm for me, that pretty much unambiguously constitutes loan fraud, since money in the settlement statement going to some third party lender was actually being returned to the buyer. That’s a no-no, as you can read about here, or in even more detail here.

There’s also a possible code of ethics violation here, inasmuch as section 16.16 of the Realtor® code of ethics prevents the buyer’s agent from using the purchase agreement to negotiate a commission, which this offer effectively does. But let’s leave that aside for a moment, because the agent in this transaction was writing up the offer the buyer asked her to write. (Actually, the agent in this case struck me as pretty much an honest albeit newer agent who was being asked to do dishonest things — not as the one leading the charge over the cliff).

So, back to the loan fraud issue. Naturally, I advised the seller to counter out this part of the agreement, and we did so. This is when things really got entertaining. Through her agent, the buyer sent me a letter telling me that this “referral fee” must be included. When his agent educated him that doing business this way was illegal, the buyer’s response was — as you may have guessed from the title — “everybody does it”. We suggested a few different ways we might legally put the transaction together, but the buyer was adamant.

“Everybody does it.” Try that on the IRS when you evade your taxes. Or even better, try it on the policeman next time you’re caught doing 90 in a 65 mile per hour zone. Well, gee, officer, everybody does it.

When the agent discussed the issue with the buyer’s mortgage broker, the mortgage broker’s proposed “solution” was to have the seller just kick back the money to the buyer outside of escrow, without writing anything up. No doubt this approach was informed by the age-old ethical principle: “Murder is not a crime if you bury the bodies deeply enough so you don’t get caught.”

Interestingly, California’s Department of Real Estate, which lists for public use the license history and disciplinary actions against any licensee you may want to look up, shows for “[deleted] Financial” that one of the corporate officers had a suspension of his real estate license at one point.

Consumers, a good starting point when you’re selecting a real estate company or mortgage broker is to check the Department of Real Estate’s license information. Anyone who was crooked enough, often enough, to get the DRE’s attention probably is a bit shadier than you might feel comfortable with. Yet there are literally thousands of licensees in there who don’t have any disciplinary remarks in there.

And the reason? Everybody doesn’t do it.

The Dog Ate Your Underwriter’s Homework

The Dog ate Your Underwriter's Homework

Well, what do you know! It’s time for another transaction to close (at least, that’s what the contract says), and once again the dog has eaten the loan processor’s homework.

I’m not the number one producer of North America or anything, so this definitely isn’t meant to brag, but in the time I’ve been in business, it’s fair to say I’ve closed a few transactions. Some day I should get out a scratch pad and try to review the percentage of times that the escrow didn’t close on time because loan docs didn’t come in. There is a crisis in veterinary medicine, as our hapless canine companions seem to have acquired a taste for loan docs, and are breaking into banks and loan offices around the nation to stuff these delicious morsels into their maws.

Over the course of the years I’ve heard lots of different valid reasons (and lame excuses) for why we didn’t get our loan docs, including:

  • This was a hard loan to do.
  • The buyer didn’t send their paperwork in on time.
  • The title company fouled up.
  • The Realtor® fouled up. (Attention loan officers: don’t try that one on me unless I really did foul up or unless you don’t like referrals).
  • A power failure corrupted our data.

Now that I’ve been in the business for some time, I’ve begun to recognize an unfortunate duty to tell my buyers at the beginning of escrow that we’ll do everything we can to close their escrow, but there are a lot of people to coordinate, and if anyone’s late we may be a few days late. My buyers are generally understanding, but I hate telling them — it’s like apologizing for inevitable defeat on behalf of the industry. “Yes, I know moving is stressful and needs to be precisely coordinated, but underwriters have these dogs, see, and these dogs…”.

There’s no way to put it correctly and politely, because it isn’t right. Attention underwriters and loan processors: grow up and do your job.

Tips When Buying a Home

FOR THE FIRST TIME HOMEBUYER:
START PLANNING AHEAD!

I have found that most first time homebuyers decide that they want to buy a home on a whim. However, this makes it harder to qualify to purchase a home. Here are some steps to prepare to buy a home:

  • Build your credit. The CalHFA (California First Time Homebuyers program) requirement is a 620 FICO score. Many first time homebuyers don’t understand how to build up their credit. Here are some tips:
    • Have at least three revolving accounts. For example, a car payment and two credit cards.
    • Keep the balances of your credit cards at about 30% of the maximum limit. (I.e. if your credit card has a $500.00 limit, then keep your balance around $150.00 and continue using it and making payments.) This shows consistency in repaying your credit.
    • Keep your accounts open. Many people close their accounts after they pay them off, but it is much more beneficial to leave them open. The credit bureaus consider the length of credit history. If you continue to close all of your credit cards after you pay them off, you will have no lengthy credit history. So hold on to those store credit cards and maybe just use them every Christmas and pay them off before the next holiday season. Also, the more available credit you have, the better your score will be!
    • Make your payments on time. Collection accounts will stay on your report even after you pay off the balances! Avoid these derogatory accounts at all costs. Should you get them, pay them off as soon as possible. If you are thinking about purchasing a home, either wait to pay these collections off until after you purchase or a year before you are planning on buying a home. The reason for this is that it will make them active when you pay them off and will actually lower your score. So if you wait a year after paying off your collections and let them be closed and seasoned, they will no longer hurt your score. Make sure you rebuild your credit after having collections by making new active accounts.
  • Save some money! CalHFA, and most banks, require that borrowers have two months of reserves. Reserves include the mortgage payment, taxes and insurance. Let’s put this in perspective. Let’s you were going to buy a home for $250,000.00, which is a realistic price for a condo or older home in the current market in Sacramento. The most popular program for CalHFA is the interest only plus program that has a fixed rate of 6.250% for thirty five years, of which the first five are interest only. This allows for first time home buyers to get used to having a mortgage payment and to have time to increase their income before the payments increase. They interest only payment on a $250,000.00 house will be $1302.08. The taxes will be $260.42, the mortgage insurance will be $177 .08, and an estimated $50.00 for hazard insurance. An estimated monthly payment for this home will be $1789.58, so you will need to have roughly $3579.16 in your bank account for at least one month before you get into contract to purchase a home. Let me clarify some of the terms that I mentioned above.
    • Interest Only payment: This means that when you make a payment you will only be paying off the interest owed on the loan. Many buyers are misinformed about whether or not this is good for them. With the recent change in the market, people are concerned that they will not gain equity in their home if they are just paying interest. My response to this is that if you are buying a home to live in and will be there for a couple of years, you will gain equity. Real estate is the most solid personal investment one can make. In cases of investors I do not suggest that people get into interest only loans, because they usually want to just sell them for a profit in less than two years. However, for those who are really wanting to live in their home and stay there until they are ready to buy a bigger home, interest only loans are a wise choice for those who are beginning their careers and their lives. Consider that real estate values typically go up over longer periods of time, and that you as a borrower will probably be making more money in the next five years. This CalHFA loan program would be perfect for you. Also, keep in mind that interest paid on a mortgage is a tax deduction!
    • Property Taxes: This is a county imposed tax that is required for all property owners. This pays for fire protection, roads, school, and other county maintained services. This is calculated as 1.500% of the purchase price, so for the estimated purchase price of $250,000 you would owe $3,125.00 per year. As a first time homebuyer you are required to put them in your monthly payment as impounds. This means that we will make it a monthly payment of $260.42.
    • Mortgage Insurance: This is an insurance required by most investors when the LTV (loan amount versus the value of the home) is greater than 80%. With CalHFA this is required, but this will cover you as the borrower in case there is an instance when you can’t make your mortgage payment. For those first time homebuyers that have no down payment and have to borrow 100% of the purchase price, they can refinance when they gain equity in their home to a value of 80% and get rid of their mortgage insurance. On a positive note, as of 2007, this mortgage insurance payment is now tax deductible (within certain income limits). This is calculated, depending on which company you use, as 0.850% of the loan amount. This is $2,125 per year, and the monthly payment will be $177.08, for the loan amount of $250,000.00.
    • Hazard Insurance: This is required by all lenders. According to my preferred company, Liberty Mutual, this covers your property against damages to the structure and the property except those exclusions that are disclosed (i.e. floods and earthquakes but these can be added to your policy). This basic coverage runs about $70.00 per month. You can contact Liberty Mutual to find a more precise estimate at 1.800.660.0351 ext 264.
  • Meet with your Realtor®! After you meet with your mortgage consultant and get qualified, then meet with a Realtor®. It is to your benefit to work with just one! Then they can get a sense of who you are and the best fit for you! Your Realtor® can help make the search a lot more streamlined! Moreover, the cost of your Realtors® services is paid for by the seller, whether you use a “dual agent” by going through the listing agent or whether you use a more independent buyer’s agent who’s working directly for you. In a way, you’re paying for the service either way when you buy the home, so you might as well get the representation.

I hope that you have found this helpful! If you have any further question, don’t hesitate to ask me! Jyee AT metrocitiesmtg DOT com or call me at 916-929-1271.

Private Mortgage Insurance

I’m working with a buyer who recently had some questions for his lender about PMI, or Private Mortgage Insurance. In the course of discussions with him, I ran across two good articles about PMI.

The first article has an especially clear discussion of PMI in the beginning part of the discussion, though I’m not sure I agree with the latter part of the article (beginning with “The Value of an Investment in Home Equity”). I haven’t formed an opinion on that part, but I cite this resource mainly for the good information at the beginning of the article.

The second article that stands alone in its entirety somewhat better, but is a little more general in scope, is the informational article at Bankrate.com, that talks about PMI and what some of the alternatives are.

My take on PMI is that it’s important for consumers to understand these things about it:

  • If you need to borrow more than 80% of the value of a home, as many people do in California, PMI is one traditional (and sometimes still good) way to get this done.
  • PMI protects the lender, not you! It does not insure you against anything should you default on the loan. PMI is a premium that protects the lender against the higher risk that they incur when lending you a larger percentage of the purchase price.
  • More recently the mortgage industry has come up with alternatives to PMI such as “second notes” (see Bankrate’s discussion of the 80/10/10 plan). In many cases, the total payment for such a scenario is lower than it would be for the cost of a loan plus PMI. Also, assuming you don’t get a prepayment penalty on the second loan, you have the option of paying off this second (higher interest) loan, on an accelerated schedule if you wish.

Oh Where Oh Where Have My Little Docs Gone?

Jen Yee, who was sick last week when I tried to introduce her the first time, is on the verge of starting her blogging debut. Meantime she met with me today to go over the basic mechanics, so I was able to finally get a picture from her that’s been hiding out on her laptop and publish it for all to see.

I used to kid Jen about the big complaint I had with mortgage brokers who don’t get me the loan docs into Title in time to close escrow. It happens way more often than I’d like, and certainly way more often than the poor buyers and sellers who are trying to get their move done would like. So on the one hand it’s a bit of an industry scandal and I probably shouldn’t joke about it. But I was telling Jen that I was so mad about it that I’d like to someday get shirts printed up that say where the BLEEP are my loan docs because I could make a fortune selling them to fellow Realtors® who were as upset about it as I was.

Where Are My Loan Docs?

So anyway Jen being the kidder that she is went ahead and ordered several such shirts and got me one — and here she is modeling it for me. Who knows who that old guy is next to her.

And by the way, she ordered me this shirt after our first escrow together closed.

The docs were in title on time.

Welcome Jen Yee of Metrocities Mortgage

Last week I had the pleasure of introducing a new mortgage blogger to the team, Linda Spafford of Stamford Mortgage.

This week I am pleased to announce a second mortgage officer who has offered to write about Mortgage topics, Jen Yee of Metrocities Mortgage.

Like Linda, Jen has been doing a fantastic job for my clients, and has access to a wide range of programs with excellent low rates. I look forward to her input here and I want her to finally get me my digital picture of that shirt. Hey, that’s a thought, maybe I’ll bring it with me when I meet with Jen today for her first blogging session.

Interest Rates Predicted to Stay The Same

I thought I’d share an interesting report regarding the housing market. Here is the transcript of radio clip I heard last night on KVIE, predicting that interest rates would remain the same through “very late in 2007″.

PRATT: By keeping the Federal funds rate unchanged, the Federal Reserve all but guaranteed that U.S. banks will keep the prime lending rate at 8.25 percent. That’s an early holiday gift for the U.S. as it gives a break to consumers and business borrowers. Suzanne Pratt, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.

Welcome Lenders

It gives me great pleasure to announce that not one, but TWO outstanding loan officers have volunteered to write about finance and mortgage issues for me here. That’s so cool, it’s like having a candy mint AND a breath mint.

By way of a Real Estate Settlements and Procedures Act (RESPA) disclosure, let me point out up front that Linda Spafford and Jen Yee (who’ll be joining in later) are independent contractors who are blogging not in exchange for referrals from John Lockwood Associates, but because their individual efforts at blogging may generate some business for themselves. As a consumer, you have absolute choice over your settlement providers and are free to use all of us, some of us, or none of us. (And if RESPA allows me to say so, that list is in descending order of my preference. ) Consumers, you can learn more about RESPA here.

This week we introduce Linda Spafford, who I first met at an open house I was holding in Placerville. She’s been providing outstanding rates and service to my buyers and putting up with my foibles ever since. She has worked many a weekend getting my buyers pre-qualified, and closed more loans that I frankly thought were impossible than I can even remember. So especially if you’ve been turned down by other lenders, you owe it to yourself to give Linda a call. (But don’t get me wrong, if you have a 750 credit score and a 30% debt-to-income ratio and 20% down, I’m sure Linda would love a chance to show you what she can do for you as well).

Linda, thanks so much for joining us. I’m sure your contributions will be a welcome addition to the discussion here and give the blog some “finance breadth” that it has lacked.

Foreclosures and Short Sales and REOs, Oh My!

Lately I’ve been working a lot on transactions on homes that are either owned by the bank or soon to be owned by the bank because the seller is in financial trouble. Ironically, some of this has come up while representing a family whose rental was recently sold at auction because their landlord didn’t make her payments. The bubble blogs are notorious for predicting situations like this and therefore, let’s give them their due and say it: they predicted situations like this.

As a Realtor®, the work becomes challenging as my buyers want to move quickly, but one of the drawbacks of a short sale situation is that they take a long time.

I thought this would be an opportunity to define a few terms, because buyers often ask me if I have access to foreclosures, and wonder how go go about buying a foreclosure.

Do We Have Foreclosures? The Short Answer.

The short answer to the question of whether Realtors® have access to foreclosures is “yes, absolutely”, because many homes are listed either by buyers hoping to avoid foreclosure in the future or banks that have already foreclosed and now own a property which failed to fetch a satisfactory price at a trustee’s sale. Buyers are interested in such properties because they may often be listed and acquired at prices that are significantly below market.

Short Sales

When a seller is in trouble and doesn’t have enough equity and cash to sell the home, pay the costs of sale, and pay off the loan, the home may be listed as a “short sale”. Short sales are called short because the sellers are short on funds, but ironically, sales where the seller is short on funds often go “long” when you talk about the escrow period. You won’t find the usual 30-day escrow period here. Instead, escrows of forty-five to sixty days and more are the norm. Short sales take extra time because the lender reserves to themselves the right to approve or reject the lower payoff that the seller is asking them to make, so another irony of the short sale process is that you’re working with the ultimate motivated seller whose hands are more or less tied by the lender.

Another drawback to short sales is that the lender is looking for the best offer, and they typically reserve the right to continue taking offers throughout the process. This means the money you pay towards inspections such as whole house and appraisal is at somewhat greater risk than on a typical sale.

A short sale may or may not be one in which a Notice of Default has been filed on the property.

Notice of Default

Most loans in California are secured not by mortgages, but by deeds of trust. A deed of trust is when a third party (the trustee) holds the “bare legal title” and the right to foreclose on behalf of a beneficiary (then lender). When a lender wishes to foreclose under a deed of trust, he tells the trustee, who then files a Notice of Default against the borrower. Once this happens, the trustee can sell the home, but only after a time specified by law and following additional steps. When a Notice of Default is filed, the property is often said to be “in foreclosure”.

What many buyers and their agents don’t know about Notices of Default is that once one has been filed, California law protects owners (borrowers) from unfair practices by “Equity Purchasers”. (California’s Equity Purchaser Law, California Civil Code, section 1695-1695.17). One element of this law that even many real estate agents are not aware of is that they must carry a surety bond equal to double the fair market value of the property if they represent a buyer on such a transaction who is purchasing the home, except in certain well defined cases, for example, where the buyer is purchasing the home as their primary residence.

Since as far as I’m aware no insurer provides such surety bonds, the upshot of the law is to put agents and brokers at risk if we represent you as in investor on the property, though there is no such problem if you’re occupying the home yourself.

Buying at a Trustee Sale

Another way to aquire a foreclosed property is to actually purchase it at the trustee’s sale. John Lockwood Associates does not currently represent buyers who wish to do this, and interested buyers are cautioned that such sales require considerable planning and research, since many of the typical protections and inspection periods do not apply to such sales.

Real Estate Owned

Sometimes called “bank repos” or REOs, “Real Estate Owned” is the accounting term that lenders use to show properties that they own, typically by having purchased them at the trustee’s sale when no one else purchased the property. Sale of these properties is less encumbered by the lengthy process you encounter in a short sale, because the lender who wants to recoup their losses and the seller are one and the same. Moreover, they’re exempt from the California Equity Purchaser law because the notice of default against them is no longer outstanding.

Because of these facts, REOs are somewhat easier and more straightforward to purchase, and they’re readily accessible to both owner-occupiers and investors alike. One down side of REOs is that the lenders sometimes ask for a fairly detailed addendum that makes the sale “as is” and may limit the buyer’s ability to recover their purchase deposit if they do not go through with the sale. Since I’m not a real estate attorney, I can’t advise you as to how enforceable those addendums are, but as a practical matter, I’ve been advising clients working with REOs to limit their deposit money to a token amount to mitigate their risks.

Conclusion

Foreclosure properties, especially short sales and REOs, offer considerable opportunities for buyers to get a home at a very competitive price compared to other homes on the market. This is especially true if you’re buying the home to live in. As is often the case in real estate, however, when you get a great price, you may find that you get not-so-great terms. An experienced Realtor® can help you understand what some of the trade-offs are and help make sure your interests are protected.

Foreclosures are an excellent choice if you have time and want to find a bargain, but they’re not a good idea if you’re in a hurry to move or you’re squeamish about terms.

Loan Bark on the Yield Spread Premium

Todd Carpenter over at Loan Bark was kind enough to link to me recently, and as a result I happened across his really interesting article about the Yield Spread Premium. Todd’s got a good slant on the whole thing, that as a consumer you might want to focus on what you’re paying — i.e., rate, APR, and closing costs — not on how much the lender is making.

My own preference as a Realtor® when I refer a client to a lender is to find someone who is both very competitive on rates and has an excellent track record on closing loans. I’ve been using Linda Spafford at Stanford Loans a lot lately, the lender Vicki and I often used when we were the Real Estate Plus Team.

Bad News, Bad News…

“Come to me where I sleep.” That’s our bow to Fairport convention fans, but it’s an appropriate title, given that the Sacramento Bee recently ran an article based on PMI predictions of doom and gloom for the Sacramento market. PMI is an insurance company offering (as my may have guessed), PMI, or Principle Mortgage Insurance, so if the market goes south they in pay more claims — at least in principle (sorry, couldn’t resist).

As usual, I’m agnostic on the issue of exactly where the market will end up. It’s not that I begrudge my neighbors in the blogosphere their alleged CrystalBall-o-Vision. I just don’t care to join them in that illusion, at least not systematically.

The other distasteful tidbit in the news was that the Fed just hiked the federal funds rate for the seventeenth time in a row.

There was a debate here some time ago wherein I took the position that interest would rise faster than prices fall. With the thirty year fixed now at an average of 6.78 percent with half a point — can you say, “over seven” — I stand by my remarks then.

At the same time, I do suppose we’ll start seeing year on year depreciation in the next batch of “the numbers”, or soon. I believe that prices would drop more slowly, I don’t think they won’t drop at all.

Meantime, those who want or need to move will do so, as they always do.

Interest Rates have Dropped

Freddie Mac reported that interest rates have dropped this week to 6.15% for the 30 year mortgage. This brings us back to the levels of late October.

There is speculation in the marketplace that thruout the year the rate could edge upward in the range of a half point to 6.5% or thereabouts.

Experts seem to think this could slow down the housing market a bit but overall feel confident that 2006 will be another strong year as inflation worries seem to be ebbing a bit based on certain recent data releases.

Rates on the 15 year fixed and the 1 year adjustable have also edged downward.

New Home Loan Limits! Fannie Mae has increased the conforming loan limit to $417,000

Fannie Mae has announced the conforming loan limit is now $417,000 for single family homes in 2006. It is estimated that an additional 466,326 homeowners would be eligible for a conforming loan.

Every Year Fannie Mae adjusts the conforming loan limits based on the median (average) price of homes – new homes and existing homes are included

Multi-Unit Loan Limits are as follows:
two-family loans: $533,850
three-family loans: $645,300
four-family loans: $801,950
The 2006 loan limit for second mortgages: $208,500

Conforming Loans for Properties in Alaska, Guam, Hawaii and the US Virgin Islands are 50% higher

Lenders will generally lend up to $417,000 for VA Loans
Additional info can be found here: FHA Loan Limits

In addition to FHA, VA and Conforming Loans there are Non-Conforming Loans with higher loan limits. These loans also have different underwriting guidelines such as variations in Loan to Value, credit scores, debt to income ratios, no income verification and many other attractive and interesting
guidelines and benefits.

This is an opportunity for homeowners to consolidate their debt and equity loans into one conforming loan with the higher loan amount. Right now there are thousands of Adjustable Rate Mortgages with 2 year, 3 year, 5 Year and 7 Year terms that will be converting into Adjustable Loans and the homeowner will no longer enjoy the fixed rate they have been used to.

Our First Guest Author

It gives me great pleasure to introduce my first guest author, David Scheer. David is the Broker / Owner of First Home Financial Mortgage. We’ve had a finance and mortgage category going for some time, but we were really just taking a bow to publishing the latest mortgage rates — I’m really not the guy to be writing about lending.

So please join me in welcoming David to the site with your feedback and comments. In a few days I’ll be working on making his contact page a bit less cheesey so you can easily drop him an email.

Thanks, David, for pitching in. I look forward to reading your posts!

Freddie Mac Reports Interest Inching Up

Freddie Mac reported an increase in the average mortgage rate yesterday in their weekly mortgage market survey. The thirty year fixed rate averaged 6.36% at half a point, up from 6.31% the week previous. Meantime, the 15-year fixed rate averaged 5.89 percent at 0.6 point, up from last week’s average of 5.85 percent.

“According to our most recent economic outlook, we expect rates to continue to rise gradually over the next 12 or so months. Because the housing sector is so sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates, this will have the effect of returning the housing sector to a more normal pace of activity, by historical standards.”

Watching the Sacramento market, I’m already seeing signs of a slow down from last year in many areas, but time will tell how quickly this slowing translates into any change in prices. I expect sellers’ expectations to be a trailing indicator.

Interest continued to rise this week

Average interest rates rose again this week, Freddie Mac reported in its weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Just to quote one value, 30 year fixed mortgage rates were at 6.31% on average with one point, up from 6.15% last week. The survey reported stronger economic growth than expected.

Fed Likely to Hike Rate a Quarter-Point

Yahoo News just carried this AP news story of another Fed rate hike. Looks like we’re in for at least a couple more quarter-point hikes.

Interest Rates Up Slightly Again

Freddie Mac’s Weekly Mortage Market Survey was released yesterday. Rates were up slightly again, originations were down, and lenders are beginning to fear especially for their refinance business.

The average for a 30-year fixed is now at 6.15%, with an average of half a point.

This is still not what you would call “high” interest, but as always, we caution buyers who may be waiting for prices on homes to fall that they certainly will — because they tend to go in the opposite direction from interest rates. I think we’re in for another several months of interest rate increases before we see prices really go down, but that’s just an opionion of mine. I also think interest will continue to climb after that, albeit with “local” fluctuations in the rate along the way.

Long Term Interest Rates Increase

Freddie Mac released their weekly Primary Market Mortgage Survey yesterday, showing 30-year rates at their highest point since July of 2004. A 30 year fixed rate mortgage averaged 6.10%.

In spite of the rate increases, Freddie Mac’s Vice President was optimistic about the state of the market overall.

“Despite the gradual rise in mortgage rates over the last two months, housing starts were actually up in September highlighting the resiliency of the housing market,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. “As a matter of fact, housing directly contributed to real GDP growth of 19 percent in the first quarter of the year and 23 percent in the second quarter. To put this in perspective, this would compare to 17 percent of real GDP growth over all of 2004.

Not surprisingly, housing starts are considered a “leading economic indicator”. An increase in housing starts is said to reflect a healthy real estate market several months in the future.

We’ll be writing some more soon about what we think one should make of the current market and what mistakes both buyers and sellers should avoid as the market changes.

Mortgage Market Update

Nicholas Yaholkovsky sends in this weeks Mortgage Market Update. Scroll down a tad and you’ll see all the latest rates. Thanks, Nicholas.

Mortgage Lenders Tighten Standards

According to the
Wall Street Journal
, Mortgage Lenders are beginning to tighten the creative standards that gave rise to concerns like those expressed by Alan Greenspan. The Journal reported that Washington Mutual is tightening its qualifying guidelines for its option ARMs, while New Century Financial Corp is reducing the number of interest only loans that it will grant.

Thanks to Verdeo Funding’s Nicholas Yaholkovsky for pointing us to this article. Check out this week’s issue of Nicholas’ Mortgage Market Guide for more recent finance news.