Archive for February, 2008

Thinking Blogger Award

callout_1 Wow. Hard on the heels of Inman’s nomination as one of the real estate blogosphere’s five least influential bloggers (no — I made that up — the truth is they never heard of me), Kathy T. over at Shak and Jill was nice enough to present Purva and I with our very own Thinking Blogger Award.

See, you thought we were just another C-list collection of market updates, but NOOOO, it turns out we’re actually “whimsical, informative, funny, and interesting.”

I should put that in bolder print so those of you who don’t read me can not see it.

That sure beats our last review, which accused us of being “uninformed, carcinogenic, dimwitted and fascist.”

No, I made that up, too. Inman never heard of me. Really.

Anyway, that’s the good news. The bad news is that there’s a bit of a chain letter aspect to the award — or at least, a sort of obligation to pass it on. I don’t usually go for that sort of thing, but today I was whining about that brick Inman threw at my window (no seriously, they didn’t), and Purva said “Well, gee, you depressed, egomaniacal dullard, at least you won the thinking blogger award!”

So today I have to come up with five blogs that have made me think and pass the award along, otherwise I break the chain and a Voodoo practitioner from the Dominican Republic will come after me with small animal bones and the blood of a chicken.

image

So without further ado, five blogs that have made me think. And remember you winners, you have to acknowledge this post and pass it along! Well, no, really you don’t have to do anything, but it’d be cool if you did.

Problogger
Yeah, I know, everyone links to Problogger, but that’s because his work is really, really good. If you want to improve your blog, the ideas he presents are a must read.

The Great Seduction
On the opposite scale of the popularity contest from Darren Rowse is the Web 2.0 critic, Andrew Keene. You might say that John Lockwood is to RE.net as Andrew Keene is to Web 2.0 in general. It’s not that he’s my Luddite hero or anything, but I do sense a bit of kindred spirit.

Sacramento Real Estate Gal
I don’t know if it’s cheating or not to mention Purva, since she’s an author here, but what the heck. In addition to her important role as my co-author and only friend, it’s a pleasure to enjoy her clarity of thought and optimism for real estate. She also really helps out the recruiting cause by saying nice things about the company — and it’s always good to be appreciated.

The Real Estate Blog Lab
So many of what pass for “real estate technology” blogs strike me as cheerleader pieces for gadgets I could care less about. “It’s a lockbox key AND an MP3 player”. Sorry, don’t need one. Dave Smith’s Real Estate Blog Lab is different. It really is a lab — a sort of WordPress user’s journal that makes a fascinating ongoing experiment in blogging techniques.

The Housechick Blog
It seems to me that Kelly Koehler is one of the few people who has mastered the art of writing a real estate blog that her real estate customers would find interesting and informative. This blog successfully blends the local with the universal. Plus, how can you not like someone who calls herself the Housechick?

It’s Leap Year Day Eve — Can You Feel The Excitement?

imageI know I can. 

Leap years only happen once every four years.  But of course you knew that.

I plan on making the most of this one.

You should, too.

We should all have a great February 29th, because if we blow it, we won’t get another February 29th until 2012.  So all the stuff we could have done will just have to wait.

I’m trying to be proactive here.

In honor of leap year day, I’m going to make a stupid announcement tomorrow.  It will be on my Roseville Blog, since I don’t want to be any more stupid here on this blog than I have to be, especially not on a high holy day like leap year day.

Now I hope all good children will go to bed early tonight so Santa Calendar will come.

With visions of chronitons dancing in your head.

How long does Buying a Home Take?

It depends. You might be one of those people who decides to buy a home you saw the first time you were out with your Realtor. Or you might be one of those who needs to go out more than three or four times and look at approximately a hundred homes online before you decide.

Typically, from the time you decide to buy a home to the time you actually make an offer is approximately 30 – 45 days. This includes time to get preapproved (after shopping for the best mortgage) and going out a few times to actually check out houses on the inside as well as the outside.

Then, assuming the offer doesn’t take too long to get accepted and provided you haven’t fallen in love with a short sale, you should be in escrow in about a week.

Escrow typically last 30 – 40 days. Most escrows are written as 30 day escrows just because sellers don’t want a 60 day escrow that cancels at the last minute. They have then just wasted months of advertising for their home. So even if escrows are written for 30 days, they may take up to 40 days with some delays.

You get your keys the day escrow closes, unless other arrangements have been made. So, plan on about 65 – 90 days from the day you decide to buy a home.

Now of course, this does not include moving!

Real Estate in El Dorado County — January Market Update

El Dorado County homeowners may have some cause to lament the loss of their home’s value over the last year, but compared to homeowners in Sacramento County they are sitting pretty.  While Sacramento County home prices lost some 27% of their value on a sold price per square foot basis over the last year (see our recent Sacramento Real Estate January Market Update), homes in El Dorado County dropped 11.7% from January to January.

The average home sold in El Dorado County in January for $466,127, 94.8% of it’s list price value of $491,947.  In January of 2007, in contrast, the average selling price was $474,378, which was 95.7% of the average list price of $495,479.   This year’s average was only down 1.7% from year to year, so most of the drop in sold price per square foot was made up by the fact that this year’s crop of homes was 11.3% larger than last year’s.  The median sale price in January fell 5.6% from year to year, from $447,000 to $422,000.

Currently bank foreclosures make up 13.7% of the inventory in El Dorado County, but in January they accounted for 30.7% of the sold homes. 

The price discrepancy between bank foreclosures and non-foreclosures (including short sales) is huge.  The average bank foreclosure in El Dorado County is currently listed at $180.06 per square foot, while the average non-foreclosure is listed at $262.60.  This difference is even more glaring when you consider that the non-REO sample consists of larger homes (which should have a smaller price per square foot value just by virtue of their size).  Current “bank repo” opportunities in El Dorado County include some forty-six homes listed below $300,000.

Sacramento Area Foreclosures, Short Sales, Condos, etc. etc.

We’ve updated our listings database.  It was getting pretty long in the tooth there.

Most people who are users of our web site(s) probably don’t know it, but many of our web sites including this one, our Roseville real estate site and our Elite Properties company site actually rely on two different databases of listings.  When you use our search page, for example, you’re using a listings database that’s our IDX company gets from our Metrolist database.  These listings are updated daily, so when you do a search, you’re looking at listings that are within twenty-four hours of being as current as the ones that we as Realtors® can look at..

In addition to the search tools that our IDX company provides, however, we also wanted to allow you to browse for certain types of listings.  One thing our IDX system doesn’t do, for example, is show you short sales and foreclosures.  Because we don’t have direct access to the database our IDX company uses, we’ve created a second database that we can use in various ways.

For example, our foreclosure search page lets you search for foreclosures and short sales, or browse them by county.  Similarly our new homes section let’s you see homes that have just been built that are listed in the MLS, and our condo pages contain links to condos grouped by price and county.

As we mentioned above, we’ve also used this database on some of our other sites.  Many clients find us through our the maps of listings by zip code that we maintain on our company site.  These maps include zip codes in El Dorado County, Placer County, and Sacramento County.  Within each zip code you can find active listings and get recent market data.  We publish similar data for Placer County only on our Roseville site.

Unlike our IDX system, which is updated automatically on a daily basis, these other resources are updated manually as time permits.

We realize that from a software perspective, that’s not the brightest way to do it.  But if you’ve ever tried to get someone from Metrolist to call you back about a data feed, you probably have a good idea that it’s not half-dumb from an organizational perspective.

The good news is, it’s up to date now.  So as my wife is fond of saying, “Get your red hot houses here!”

Enjoy.

Does my Realtor get a Referral Fee from my Lender?

In other words, your Realtor has probably asked you if you’re preapproved before going out looking at homes and has said, “If you haven’t spoken with a lender yet, I’d be glad to refer one to you.”

Hush. Calm your crazy, paranoid, beating heart. Realtors and lenders are expressly disallowed by RESPA from giving referral fees or gifts to one another for business. Chances are, your Realtor has worked with this lender before and just wants a smooth transaction – isn’t that what you want? – and / or genuinely wants to help you get the best interest rate and terms.

Comment Policy

I am experimenting with a new comment policy.  In the past, comments were moderated.

I have reset the comment settings to be un-moderated (in the WordPress sense), and I’ve removed some other restrictions as well.

These settings are subject to change in the future.   However, if everyone will please observe the following guidelines, I’m hoping I can leave them open and we’ll move forward toward more fruitful discussion.

Please Note The Following Guidelines:

  • Real email addresses are required. Anonymous comments are not permitted.  We apologize for any inconvenience.
  • No spam.  If you see an article here about foreclosures and you want to tell people about your nifty foreclosure site, don’t.  If you have something to say on the topic of what the article and your comment is interesting enough, they’ll click through on your name.  There’s some leeway if your site does not compete with ours and is truly an informational resource, but see the note on the opaqueness of the algorithm, below.
  • Disagree gently.  Though we try hard to be patient and have forbearance because it is one of the ten paramitas, the moderator(s) are sensitive people, with an unfortunate bad habit of working out their insecurities using the delete key.  Like the Google algorithm, the relationship of your civility to our patience is a black box.  We’re working on improving the latter.  Please work on the former as much as you can.
  • Real names are preferred.  A real name takes the form:  “John Smith”, not “Alabama Luxury Condos”.  The “nofollow” tag gives no benefit to the latter anyway, so why not pull up a chair and tell us who you are?

And Finally… THANK YOU …

for your participation here and for helping us create an interesting discussion!  We appreciate you reading us!

What a Neat Idea

Derek Burress is a real estate blogger who I met at a recent flame war in honor of Greg Swann.

Hi Greg and Brian.  Hope all is well with you.  I apologize for my harsh words over the years.

Wow, that was easy.

Now On to the Neat Idea

The flame war itself was the usual secondary bully market non-sense  (Bluto Freddie Mac).  Some good came out of it, however, because I met Derek Burress.  Derek is a real estate blogger who’s given up his real estate blogging to write a novel.

What a neat idea.

I’d link to him if I could, but his site is down at the moment.  Well, what the heck, maybe it’ll be up by the time you read this.  DereckBurress.com.

Why This Is Cool

I have this book, Writing Fiction Step by Step, that I bought over a year ago.  I haven’t looked at it much, because being a broker keeps me busy, what with working on my own transactions and helping / supervising my agents with theirs.

Writing blog posts about the market in the Sacramento area really does pay the bills — albeit in a way that’s quite different from how the Real Estate Blogger A-List would have you believe.  About a year or two ago, it suddenly dawned on me that for the past few years, my true profession has been “professional writer”, even though the vehicle whereby my writing made me money was my occupation, which was real estate.

Self Improvement, Blog Improvement

Sometimes you reach these emotional crises where you discover that it’s time to start waiting for your life to begin and time to start living it.  Well, maybe you don’t reach those, but I certainly do.

I don’t want to be ungrateful to my hack market update writing — it’s paid the bills.  But I would like to improve this blog.  And I would also like to spend some time working on other writing projects that will pose me a different kind of challenge.

Does this mean the real estate business will suffer?  Not at all — well not from a client point of view, anyway.  Already my agents do a fabulous job with the clients who are good enough to reach us through this blog.  So the balancing act for me has always been how many clients do I personally help versus how many of those do I pay an agent to help. 

So improving the blog and doing other writing projects may mean a temporary pay cut for me (especially in this down market), but I expect the quality of service to remain high.

That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.  Hey look — I’ve made up a story already! 

One down.

Where Are We Headed?

I have two questions: 

  • Where are we headed?  
  • Are we there yet?

I’ve been decidedly off my blogging feed (no pun intended) lately.

When I was little and was getting over the flu, mom would always recommend something bland, like saltine crackers and flat ginger ale.

Lately I feel like that’s about what my writing has been like:  saltine crackers and flat ginger ale. 

Fortunately for me, Purva has been writing a lot or real estate FAQ posts and that’s been keeping the blog going.

Me I’m just fighting to get my eloquence mojo back, sort of like Rocky VIII.

Another Sad Market Tale

Darn, it was dispiriting to learn that a good friend of mine, an agent formerly with another company, and possible Elite Properties recruit went back in to property management lately — a job she doesn’t really like — even though she’s a very strong, experienced agent, who did better than most agents are doing last year.  I was talking to her today and she was finally pushed over the edge by tire-kickers and a short sale that is taking forever to close. 

It was sure nice to hear from her when she returned my call, but I wish it had been under better circumstances.

It’s one thing to see agents who are not doing well leaving the business — which happens even in up markets.  When strong people leave, that’s pretty disquieting.

What Kind of Blog Is This

That’s another thing:  What kind of blog is this.  For many years this blog has been about real estate in the Sacramento area.  A real estate blog vendor was nice enough to give us props recently as a purveyor of lots of good market information.

Sometimes I wish we had an exciting blog, where we wrote about things like showing homes with our IPhones and called Glen Turkee an idiot and had lots of people commenting about who’s the vendor and hey, let’s bring the Diet Coke and Chips.

Mostly, as I’ve pointed out, the A-list folks pretty much ignore me and I pretty much ignore them.  We’re not on anyone’s A-List.

It could still be a good blog, though.  I have high hopes.

Stupid Spam Comments

Generally in response to the shorter posts about real estate that Purva’s been writing lately, we’ve been getting all sorts of comments from people named “Florida Real Estate” and “Georgia Fishing Vacation”.

Granted, this is not the kind of blog where we write about IPhones and GlenTurkee, so we don’t get a lot of comments.

And sometimes admittedly I’ve been a bit heavy handed with the moderate button, in the case of bubblers who often just want to stir things up and people trying to sell crap in Boise.

But look, if you want to comment on the blog such as it is, you should do yourself a favor and Google the following:  “nofollow tag”.  If you figure out what the search engines figured out five years ago, you’ll be more likely to come in here and tell us you’re real name.  Joe Scampi, or Peggy-Sue Hiply, or whatever it is.  We spend a lot of time writing stuff, and we go by our names.  If you’re going to do link spam, at least do it someplace where you’re going to get a benefit.  Don’t do it here.

That’s Enough Silly Ranting for One Day

Actually it’s enough for longer than that, but bear with me — I’m not sure I’m done.

What is Private Mortgage Insurance?

Private Mortgage Insurance (or PMI for short) is insurance you are required to pay if you have less than 20% down to buy a home. If you intend to buy a home with nothing down, or 5% down or even 10 – 15% down, the lender will require you to buy private mortgage insurance. It is usually added to your monthly payments, but it may be possible to buy it upfront and add it into the closing costs.

Private mortgage insurance is required to protect the lender in case you default on the loan and the lender has to go through foreclosure proceedings to sell the home. The private mortgage insurance company will then pay the lender and cover him in case of a loss (on your part.)

Usually, you would call the lender to have PMI canceled once you have paid down the mortgage to be 80% of the value of the home when it was purchased or the appraisal value, whichever is less. However, be warned that you cannot have any late payments on your mortgage when requesting a cancelation of private mortgage insurance.

What about Creative Financing?

Oh no. You’ve been reading those books, haven’t you?

Yes, they make entertaining reading and besides fill you up with all kinds of ideas about buying up entire streets and becoming a real estate mogul. Hey, nothing wrong with buying up streets and aspiring to be a mogul, or even being one. But realize you are not going to be able to trade your beaten up old 1985 chevy truck to get a 3 bedroom home that you can then rent out and make a fortune on five years down the road. (Yes, I can the books that trash Realtors for being conservative:))

Look, the best creative financing is usually the kind that works well. Seller financing, while not creative enough for most people, can work for example. But in today’s market where the best prices on homes are those that are in foreclosure, you are going to have a hard time convincing a bank to go for any kind of creative financing.

Your best bet is to get a loan and buy the home with no games attached. Even if it is incredibly boring.

Can I Buy a House on a Credit Card?

I’ve heard of people buying homes on credit cards, but why would you?

Here are a few good reasons not to do so:
1. Interest rates on mortgages are lower than those on credit cards because mortgages are secured loan. (secured by the house)
2. You escape paying a mortgage, but you also don’t get the tax benefits of a mortgage.
and lastly,
3. I know it can seem pretty cool to do so, but why else would you?!?!

Buying a house on a credit card is probably a lot easier in other states where homes don’t cost as much as they do in California. And even if you’ve worked hard enough to get a card that will let you borrow $250,000 – $500,000 at one shot, go back to point #1 and read this post over!

Who’s Afraid of the RE.net?

tantrum_smallThose of you who are looking for information about real estate in Sacramento, the usual topic of this blog, may find this post to be somewhat irrelevant.

I who am writing it find it completely so.

Something Wicked This Way Comes

Every so often something comes up that reminds me that there’s this giant group of Realtors® aside from me and my cozy little real estate company, and they’re out there calling themselves the RE.net or the real estate blogosphere.

Actually, there are at least two communities, really — there’s the RE.net and then there’s ActiveRain.  There’s a little bit of overlap between the two.  But there’s a fairly large group of RE.net-ites who don’t do ActiveRain, and there’s a substantial group of ActiveRain members who don’t get out much.

Once in a blue moon someone from the RE.net will happen by here.

I think they like reading Purva.

Some Times Nothing is a Real Cool Hand

Both these groups make me scratch my head a lot.  I know:  some people think that’s caused by dandruff.  But I have insider insight.  It’s confusion.

Actually I kind of get the ActiveRain people — and I’m one of them though I don’t spend a lot of time there any more.  I disagree with them on technical issues of how business should be developed, and on thematic issues of what one should usually write about, but I pretty much get them.

The RE.net — those guys leave me completely puzzled.   No, come to think of it, it’s not puzzlement.  I just think we don’t like each other very much, as a rule.  There are a few who I find quite pleasant, but overall my odds of finding someone pleasant are better if you take any other population and run it by me.  Everyone who works in a bank, let’s say.  Or everyone at the Department of Motor Vehicles.  Last time I was at the DMV I had a wonderful time.

My inability to find much joy in the RE.net is somewhat unpleasant whenever it comes up, but for the most part it’s a non-issue, because they pretty much stay on their side of this series of tubes, and I stay on mine. 

Someday maybe Jesus will fill my heart with gladness and I’ll love them at least as much as I love everyone at the Department of Motor Vehicles.

What Bug Is Up The RE.net Lately

I actually started writing this post about a week ago, when fans of this one RE.net character came buy to sell me on the idea of participating in a charity chain letter the RE.net was having for the tornado victims in the southern United States.  I put up a link to the Red Cross, and my saleslady was a little disappointed that “RE.net wouldn’t get the credit”.

I’ve been pretty busy with real work since then, and pretty dumbfounded as to how to respond.  If this were the DMV I’d probably make a joke of it.  “Heh, heh — looks like I’m in the wrong line again!”

Extra Stupidity to the Rescue

Since then, an RE.net blog war that used to flare up quarterly has now begun to appear monthly.  All the usual suspects have pitched their respective marbles on one blog or another by now, or lost them completely.

For those of you who’ve had the good fortune to never have seen a blog war, imagine two sandboxes populated by miscellaneous two-to-four-year-olds, throwing sand and rocks and Tonka trucks at each other.  Now imagine it going on with a subtle difference or two.  The two-year-olds are all ostensible grown-ups, so there’s really no incentive for any adult supervision, inasmuch as there really isn’t a child at risk of getting beaned with a steel fire engine.  So it can get as stupid as it wants to be and everyone else’s inner child can come along and comment on it.

I Know You Are But What Am I?

As I mentioned above, I often wish I got along better with the RE.net, so I could feel at least as at home there as I do at the DMV.  So there’s probably a bit of sour grapes in what I’m going to say, but I’ll say it anyway:  If you’re going to be an outcast, you could do worse than to be an outcast from the RE.net.  Individual exceptions notwithstanding, they’re pretty much insane.

I say Potato, you say Pariah.  Let’s call the whole thing off.

Mortgage Shopping: Why are there So Many Kinds of Mortgages?

Contrary to certain beliefs, I do NOT think it’s a conspiracy to take your home. I really think these mortgages came up because of the needs of various borrowers. Case in point: some of us cannot prove our income because we don’t get W-2s from our jobs. Many self-employed business owners have to get stated income loans, typically carrying a higher interest rate. Certain landlords for example might prefer interest only loans for their rentals to create a cashflow where there couldn’t be one with a fixed 30 year loan.

So how many kinds are there? You would have to ask someone specializing in mortgages that question. The following are the most common:

30 year fixed – loan amortizes (prinicipal and interest) over 30 years – payments remain the same.

15 year fixed – loan amortizes over 15 years – payments remain the same.

Hybrid – typically a combination of fixed and adjustable. Usually fixed for 3, 5 o 7 years.

Interest Only – monthly payments only include the interest, principal remains the same.

Option ARMS – interest is adjustable and borrowers can choose to pay one of four payment options; if they choose the lowest, the principal and interest part that is not paid is added to the loan, thus leading to negative amortization where the mortgage amount goes up instead of down.

Can I Put Closing Costs on a Credit Card?

Chances are, no. If you want to get a cash advance and have that money sit in your bank account for a while and “season” you could potentially do that. However, be forewarned that you would have to disclose that part of your “down payment” is borrowed and the lender might not like that.

We also warn buyers not to make any drastic changes to their credit while they are in the process of buying a home. For example, don’t buy furniture on credit, or clothes on credit. In fact, don’t use your credit cards at all for about a month between applying for a mortgage and closing on it. The reason for this is that there is usually a last credit approval done before funding during escrow. If your credit is already low or just average, this change in your credit situation might sink your scores lower than the lender wants to see and deny your loan on day 30 of escrow.

So, your best bet is to either get the closing costs paid by the seller and have the amount added to your loan figure or save up to 5% of the total purchase price before you decide to look for a home.

What are Closing Costs?

When you buy a home, chances are you are going to need a loan. A house might be the largest investment of money you ever make in your lifetime. For that investment, unless you have approximately $250,000 sitting around in a bank account (bad idea, by the way – savings are only FDIC insured up to $100,000 – but I digress!) chances are you are going to need a loan.

To get a loan, you are going to need to pay credit reporting fees, appraisal fees (on the home you are about to buy), processing fees, and amongst others, points to get the mortgage rate down to where you want it. A point is 1% of the loan amount and brings your mortgage interest rate down by about an 1/8.

Besides the loan fees, you are also going to pay half the escrow costs. Escrow fees are negotiable between buyers and sellers, however the standard in Sacramento seems to be that the costs are split 50 – 50 between both parties.

All these fees, including your down payment is usually required by the title company at the signing of your loan documents, before closing, in the form of a cashier’s check. These are closing costs. Without the down payment, they usually add up to about 3% of the total purchase price and usually you can have them paid by the seller. You may be required however to raise your purchase amount by that number, so the costs get added on to your loan.

Do I Really Need a Down Payment?

Short answer: it helps. If you are buying an investment property, it might be imperative. I haven’t heard of too many investors getting zero down loans. As far as owner occupied homes are concerned, we are beginning to see some of the more traditional forms of home buying now that the Age of the Option ARMs is gone. And it helps to have 20% – 25% down. There are better rates available with 25% down.

But before you groan, I must add that if you have good credit there are various options out there for you with no or very little money down. If your credit score is above 700, there is a very good chance that you might be able to buy a home with very little out of pocket expenses. Most banks and sellers will give you up to 3% back for closing costs without throwing too much of a fuss thus helping you buy a home with almost no money down. And your private mortgage insurance might be tax deductible. Check with your tax planner.

Lenders are also very open to “gift funds” that are contributed by family as part of the down payment or closing costs. See, you might have more than you think!

The Ten Dollar Hat, the Five Cent Head, and the Voicemail They Rode In On

phonesmashThe other day I was out showing property and ran into an agent wearing a ten dollar hat on a nickel head.

I was having a problem showing this one listing.  Every so often you meet a lock that doesn’t work or a similar problem that prevents you from getting inside the house.  In this case there was a key for the deadbolt, but the doorknob lock was keyed differently, was locked, and there was no key to the doorknob lock.

So I called the agent, who I’ll call Tami Talksalot, and got a sort of voicemail Homeric epic that went something like:

“Thank you for calling the Tami Talksalot Team, your personal real estate consultant for life.  Since 95% of our business comes from referrals blah blah blah.  Please leave your name, phone number, and a detailed description of your problem so we can be fully prepared before calling you back.  If you were referred to us blah blah blah please leave the name of the person who referred you so we can call and punish them with this epic voicemail too blah blah blah.”

It looks a lot shorter in print.  I’m sure there was more to it, like what color shirt Tami Talksalot was wearing and something about providing my cat with outstanding customer service, but after a few minutes waiting to tell my personal real estate consultant for life that I couldn’t show her property because 95% of my business comes from people who could actually get inside the house they wanted to buy, I got pretty tired.

I got a call back twenty-four hours later after my buyers and I had long since left the area by an assistant on the Tami Talksalot team, Peggy-Sue Getaclue, who asked if I was able to get inside the house.

I missed an opportunity there.  I should have told her I was still listening to the voicemail announcement.

Live and learn.

I’m still waiting to hear back that the house can be shown.  But I’m not holding my breath.

Mortgage Shopping: How Do They Know What I Can Afford?

Most mortgage brokers will have software that they can plug in your income numbers and outstanding loans (as in loans you owe, not fantastic loans) and come up with a pretty good idea of what you can afford – in terms of home price and monthly payments.

However, it is always a good idea to take those numbers home and sleep on them so you know exactly how much you will be paying and if you can afford it month after month for about 30 years.

You can refer to this earlier post with mortgage calculators to get a better idea and calculate for yourself.

Mortgage Shopping: What Mortgage Should I Get?

With the plethora of mortgage options out there, your mortgage broker will probably guide you through at least a handful, depending on what monthly payment you are comfortable with. But there is only one right answer to the question “what mortgage should I get?”

Get one you can understand and afford.

The “understand” part is important. Because we have gotten into the mortgage mess we’re in right now because too many people got into mortgages they didn’t quite understand. There probably aren’t that many crazy mortgages out there right now but if you do run into the occasional mortgage company that pushes the low payment that seems way off from all the others (try about three companies) and refuses to talk about things like interest rates, closing costs and so on, move on. You’ll be glad you did.

How Much are Sacramento County Short Sales / Bank Foreclosures Discounted?

I took a few minutes today to look at the discounts for short sales and foreclosures based simply on list prices.  In other words — how much are they discounted before you negotiate with the seller? 

Foreclosures may have a little more negotiating room between list price and sale price, but not as much as you may think.  The reason is that homes that are priced well to begin with tend to get more competition, so even in the case of bank owned foreclosures, buyers typically only negotiate something between 5-6% off the list price for foreclosures, as compared to about 4% for all sales.

The real bulk of the discounts for foreclosures and short sales already appears in the MLS.

So with that, let’s look at the results.  How much are foreclosures and short sales discounted in Sacramento County?

In active inventory, the list price for non-distressed sales are currently averaging $228.62 per square foot.  Short sales are discounted, on average, 27.8%, with the average list price for short sales being $165.00 per square foot.  Foreclosures are discounted even more — 36% compared to non-distressed sales — with the average REO in Sacramento County currently listed at $146.19 per square foot.

One caveat, however.  If you look at short sales and foreclosures on a neighborhood by neighborhood basis, you generally see foreclosures still having better discounts than short sales — but the overall magnitude of the discounts are somewhat less than they are when you look at the entire county.  This is because part of the 27.8% and 36% numbers reported above reflects the fact that in many cases more expensive areas also have fewer foreclosures. 

In Antelope, for example, Short Sales are currently listed at a discount of 26.3%, and foreclosures are currently discounted 30%, from their non-distressed counterparts.

“Only” 30% off?  That’s still not bad!

5 Ways to Know How much House you can Buy

1. Calculate how much you are paying for rent. Then take a good look at your monthly budget and figure out if you can afford taxes, insurance and home repairs. Right now, there are probably homes in your neighborhood you could buy for not much more than the rent you are paying.

2. Most financial experts top off the money you should pay on your mortgage to be a third of your gross income. Calculate the price of your home in reverse that way.

3. Find a mortgage broker who will give you a range of value your home can fall in and also your monthly payments.

4. Use this handy calculator at Bankrate.com

5. Ask Ginnie Mae!

Good luck!

Mortgage Shopping: Should I Head to my Bank?

Personally, I would never hand over my business to any institution unless I have a relationship with one accountable person in it. So, the obvious answer to the above question – should I just head to the bank and get a mortgage loan is no.

A better answer is to find a good mortgage broker you can trust and work with. This mortgage broker will research all the loans available, including the ones your bank offers and get you the cheapest loan you can get. The only thing you must watch for are the closing costs associated with mortgage brokers, especially the online ones.

That being said, if you are shopping around, starting at your bank is not a bad idea. As long as you are willing to shop and compare rates, payments and closing costs, starting with your bank might not be all bad. Just remember to shop!

When Should I Start Shopping for a Mortgage?

Most people don’t think about their credit until they consider buying a house. While you don’t need to start shopping for a mortgage a year before you buy a home, you should definitely start checking your credit and monitoring it about a year before.

Ideally, you would start shopping for a mortgage about a month to two weeks before going out shopping for a home. Most Realtors will require that you be preapproved for a mortgage before you go out looking for a home. It will also give you an idea of what size of a home you are looking for and will better assist you in narrowing your choices.

However, with today’s mortgage guidelines changing every few days, it would be a good idea to check with your mortgage broker every week to ensure that you still qualify, especially if your credit is not in the very good range.

Tornado Relief

Lani Anglin has asked me to use my phenomenal influence (or was that “phrenological influence” — my head feels a bit bumpy) to ask you to help the victims of the recent Tornados in the South.

So yeah, do that. 

If you want to help, you can make a secure, online donation at the American Red Cross.

Thanks!

Sacramento County Real Estate – Market Update January, Part II

In our Sacramento Real Estate Market Update for January, Part I, I began rounding up the usual statistical suspects, but I decided to leave some of them to a future post, since I wanted to spend some time in part one having a discussion about the recent upsurge in demand.

Left out of part one was a discussion of where we are with respect to foreclosures and short sales. In January of 2007, foreclosures and short sales collectively made up only 7.3% of all sales. Foreclosures accounted for 4.6% of all sales, while short sales accounted for 2.7% of all sales. That’s about one home in every thirteen.

In January of 2008, in contrast, foreclosures and short sales accounted for 67%, or just over two out of every three sold homes. Of these, the vast majority are foreclosures, which accounted for 60.5% of the total sales in January, even though they only make up 27.5% of the current active inventory. Short sales make up even more of the active inventory at 32.1%, but in January only 6.5% of closed transactions were short sales.

Sacramento Real Estate Market – January 2008 – Part I

January’s real estate numbers for Sacramento County are in, and so on the one hand we’re ready for usual: a nerd-friendly, statistics-heavy look backward on the previous month.

Yes, I want to spit out all the boring numbers, but at the same time there’s something very exciting going on that’s a bit harder to measure, but it’s nonetheless quite real: we have gotten incredibly busy in January, with buyers who’ve decided that now’s the time to be shopping and writing offers. Not only that, but our buyers are starting to face quite a bit of competition on the best priced homes.

We’ve been answering about six new buyer inquiries per day for the last two weeks or so. and although we’ve averaged about 1,650 daily unique web site visitors for most of 2007, in January that number shot up rather dramatically to 2,207, the highest number ever.

Buyers Who Didn’t Get The Memo

A lot of people are focusing on the supply side of the market, and pointing out — correctly I think — that we still have a lot of Option ARM resets to work our way through. I call that the supply side because more foreclosures of course means more supply of homes. Based on such a the supply-focused analysis of option ARM resets, the market will continue to be bad well into 2009 or possibly later.

However, what I believe is happening in January is what the real estate bears haven’t spent much time on. Yet in retrospect it looks like it is precisely what one should expect to happen when prices fall like a rock: demand increases.

Thus, for example, this January the median price was $250,000 for Sacramento County, down a dizzying 27.5% from last year’s median price of $345,000. The last few months have seen some of the biggest drops in prices since the Sacramento County real estate market started its decline in September of 2005. The average sale price is down 28.4% (from $376,112 last January to $269,301 this January), and the sold price per square foot has fallen 27% to rest this January at $161.65.

Meantime, however, unit volume appears to have reached a bottoming out point. In September of 2007, the worst month for unit volume in recent memory, unit volume was down 41.3% from the same month a year earlier. This January, however, our unit volume is down only 1% from last January, and if the current surge in buyer interest continues, I would not be surprised to see year on year unit volume increases for many months in 2008 over 2007.

Mortgage Shopping – Where do I Get a Mortgage Broker?

Somewhere along the process of getting ready to shop for a home, you are going to need to shop for a mortgage. Most Realtors would insist that you be pre-approved for a home loan, or at least pre-qualified before you head out looking for a home.

So the questions arises: where do you find this mortgage before you find a home?

One way to do this is to think back to the last good transaction you had related to your mortgage – refinancing, for example. If you had an especially smooth transaction with almost no hiccups and the broker engendered a sense of trust in you (very important!) call him or her to get a mortgage.

If you’re one of the lucky few to have waited for this market dip and are a first-time buyer, I would recommend speaking to your Realtor first. Most Realtors have good working relationships with mortgage brokers they have done business with in the past and trust. They can usually put you in touch with them. The good part of this kind of relationship is that there is accountability on both sides of the equation. But don’t feel pressured into using any one broker. Gut feel is most important when picking the right person.

Good luck!

Bad MLS Photo of the Day

There are a lot of fixes for this:

1) Don’t shoot the window, because it ruins the exposure on the rest of the picture. Or close the shades, turn on all the lights, and try it again.

image

2) Try fixing it in PaintShop or Photoshop or the like — press the one step photo fix. Here’s how this one came out. Still not great, but hey look — there’s a door, and a fireplace.

image

3) When all else fails, if you have other photos that show the house better — just don’t add it.

I Have Bad Credit – what do I do?

If you are considering buying a home and have bad credit, that’s where you should start. Most people don’t really know what their score is. The first step to homeownership is looking at your credit report. You can either go to a mortgage broker and get a free copy if you intend to get preapproved or you can order one online. Just be sure to get one that gives you the three scores and three reports by all three credit reporting bureaus.

The next step is to go over every line in your report. If there are any mistakes, you should contact the credit bureaus and have them fixed. If there are late payments, there’s little to be done about them, but if there are unpaid items, I would suggest paying them before looking into homeownership.

Ideally, it would take you about a year to two years after paying all outstanding debts and continuing to pay all your bills on time to qualify for a home purchase. But the road is worth it!