Archive for 2010

2010 in Review, and Looking Forward to 2011

My Crazy Year in Retrospect

2010 was an interesting year for me.  By the time you read this I’ll be vacationing in Bogotá, Colombia and on the verge of flying to Santa Marta, marking the first time I’ve ever been out of North America and the first time I’ve used a passport.  In March, in contrast, I went to the hospital for chest pains, was given nitro (and nearly died of low blood pressure because I’m sensitive to it) and had three stents put in.  By the end of December I’d learned a foreign language (Spanish), lost about 75 pounds, got divorced, and took over again at the helm of my own real estate blog when my broker of record quit, while holding down another full time job. 

I try to stay busy.

One of my agents has done an excellent job for me and for all of our customers this year.  Two others have been struggling, as have any number of former colleagues who don’t work for me who have given up on the business rather than stare down the double barrels of fewer sales and lower commissions.  I got a proposal on Elance.com today from a licensee in Arizona who’s leaving the business.

On top of “the market problem”, we had a big technical problem with the email forwarding earlier in the year that hurt us quite a bit.  Fortunately that’s resolved, and I am committed to improving our offerings and services in the coming years.

2011 – Our Business Turnaround Year

2011 is the year we turn things around.  (It may well be the year the market turns around too, unless rising interest rates to control inflation make the market all soggy and hard to light).   Either way the market goes, I have a number of goals for my real estate business in the coming year, and I wanted to share them with you:

  • I’m going to improve this web site in a number of ways.  There’ll be an excellent new design from a talented designer and marketing professional I know, which will include a variety of usability improvements.  Search, especially, will be easier to find and use, and the whole thing will be cleaner, more modern, and better organized.
  • I’m going to rework the branding, including the name.  There’s another local business with “Elite” in the name who are not known for their integrity, so we keep getting confused with them, and that can’t be good for us.  Probably I’ll go with Lockwood Real Estate or Lockwood Realty.  What do you think sounds better?  Hopefully there’s not some other John Lockwood out there doing something crazy like killing Bambi’s mom with a joystick.  Doh!  (That’s not me, honest.  The only times that I go to Texas are when I’m flying somewhere that isn’t Texas).

    Update:  my daughter prefers the sound of Lockwood Real Estate, and no one uses Realty except in company names, so Lockwood Real Estate it is.  If it turns out to be a bad decision, at least I spent as more time on it than John McCain spent on selecting a running mate for President of the United States.

  • I’m going to do more to get the name out there than just be number one in the search engines, such as trying to reach out to more colleagues nationwide, and customers and vendors here in the Sacramento area.  It’d be really cool to hear from more people here.  That’s already started to happen.
  • I’m going to find some folks here locally (and a few colleagues nationwide) who want to guest blog once in awhile for Sacramento’s oldest real estate blog.  I’m especially interested in folks who can do lending related topics, but if you have other ideas, I’m certainly open to them.  Yes, you’ll get one or two self-serving links per article and yes, we’ll stay on the good side of RESPA, I promise.
  • I’m going to hire a few more top producers who want to be part of the company with the best Internet marketing in greater Sacramento.  Among other tasks, I’ll be revisiting agent recruitment and compensation when I get back from vacation and I’ll have more to say about that in the year ahead.
  • I’m going to start actively soliciting feedback from our customers and visitors –-especially the former.  Yes, we’re hoping some of this will be testimonials, but we also want to know if there are areas where we might have dropped the ball in some way.  I know we can improve on the speed and consistency of our follow-up, for example.  We can, and we will.
  • I’m thinking I’d like to run something called a 50/50 contest for awhile, maybe the whole year.  The idea will be to give away prizes each week for contests I’ll run on the blog / Facebook / Twitter.  The 50 / 50 thing is because every other week  (50% of the time) the prize will either be awarded to the contestant in the form of a gift card, and on alternate weeks the prize will be awarded to someone in need. Some weeks I may choose the charity, and some weeks we’ll let the contestant choose.

    Of course, like all contests of this kind, one of the goals of this one is to shamelessly self-promote the context sponsor in the hope of attracting more business.  But aside from that, we want to help some folks less fortunate than us who may be suffering, make some new friends in the community, and just generally enjoy the living heck out of life.

    Why not?

So check back in late January, February and March to see the changes beginning to happen, and, above all,

BEST WISHES FOR A HAPPY, SAFE,

AND PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR

 

Placer County Real Estate Market Update, November 2010

Placer County real estate market continues to be free from any major upheaval in November 2010. The overall unit volume has registered moderate increase with upward trends visible in foreclosures, short sales, and non-distressed sales compared to month of November in 2009. However, the average sales price has decreased marginally and the effect is in tune with the real estate trend in Sacramento and El Dorado Counties. The market trends indicate the inclination of real estate sale in Placer County toward investor buyers looking for less expensive homes.

Increase in Sales Volume in November 2010

In November this year, unit sales in Placer County show an upward trend compared to the same time last year. The total sales have gone up to 398 units from 351 units, a mere 13 percent increase. This development is in sync with the real estate market trends in El Dorado. Short sales have gone up 32.5 percent compared to November 2009. In November 2010, there were 110 short sales whereas the number stood at 83 this time last year. Foreclosures also went up by 12.9 percent, from 93 units in November 2009 to 105 units in November 2010. The rise in short sales and foreclosures has resulted in mere 4.6 percent slide in the non-distressed sales, which continue to play a major role in the real estate market in the Placer County. Non-distressed home sales constitute around 46 percent of the total unit sales. The figure for November 2010 stands at 183 units, a mere eight units more than the same month last year. The trend negates the plunge in non-distressed sales in Sacramento and El Dorado Counties.

Dip in Prices of Placer County Real Estate

There has been a moderate drop in the price of real estate in Placer, Sacramento, and El Dorado Counties. The fall in listed property prices in the Placer County is not in proportionate to the increase in unit sales and broadly seen as an extension of October trends. The price per square foot has slightly decreased effecting up to six percent lower value compared to November 2009. It remained around $142.68 in November 2010 compared to $150.82 during the same month last year. The average list price and average sale price have beaten back by 10.2 percent compared to November 2009. Now average list and sale prices are at $317,582 and $307,513 from $353,630 and $342,337 exactly a year ago. The foremost decrease is seen in the median sale price. It has shed 14.2 percent and now stands at $257,500 compared to $300,000 in November 2009.

Status of Inventory As of November, 2010

There has been marginal improvement in the inventory status of all segments. While average short and non-distressed sales have gone up in the past six months, the foreclosures remain at the same level. The overall inventory picture is similar to El Dorado County.

Statistics of Placer County Real Estate for November, 2010

The following tables show statistical comparison of November 2010 real estate volume and price of Placer County with that of November 2009 and inventory details.

Unit Volume Data

Units Sold November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Foreclosures Sold 93 105 12.9%
(% of total units) 26.5% 26.4%
Short Sales Sold 83 110 32.5%
(% of total units) 23.6% 27.6%
Non-distressed Sold 175 183 4.6%
(% of total units) 49.9% 46.0%
Total 351 398 13.4%

Price Data

Prices November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Sold Price / Square Foot $151.82 $142.68 -6.0%
Square Feet 2254 2155 -4.4%
Average List Price $353,630 $317,582 -10.2%
Average Sale Price $342,337 $307,513 -10.2%
Median Sale Price $300,000 $257,500 -14.2%

Inventory (Based on 12 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 400 2380 5.9
Foreclosures 115 286 2.5
Short Sales 108 1172 10.8
Non-distressed 175 924 5.3

Inventory (Based on 6 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 421 2380 5.6
Foreclosures 110 286 2.6
Short Sales 118 1172 9.9
Non-distressed 192 924 4.8

El Dorado Real Estate Market Update November 2010

The bouncing back of economy and increase in consumer spending are yet to have their impact on the El Dorado County real estate market. Despite there is the growth in the overall volume of sale, the November price is yet to touch the same level as a year ago. The encouraging market price trends of September and October are gradually slowing down. The real estate market in El Dorado has witnessed a sharp fall in median sales compared to this time of the past year. However, unlike its neighbor Sacramento County, volume of sales in El Dorado remains high in November 2010. The encouraging September trends of this year somehow continue to influence new real estate investments as non-distressed sales are still there.

Volume of Sales Up, Unit Price Down

The total number of November sales in El Dorado County considerably increased. There has been 20.7 percent surge in total number of units sold compared to November 2009. During the November month of the past year, there were 150 units sold. This number went up to 181 units in November 2010. The statistics indicate that though non-distressed sales continue to dominate the volume, there has been steady fall in its overall percentage, from 57.3 percent to 39.8 percent. Short sales have more than doubled and there has been whopping 144 percent rise in that category. The foreclosures are growing in numbers and constitute 35.9 percent of overall volume. These two constitute around 60 percent of total sales, an 18 percent overall increase than November 2009 statistics.

There has been marginal to medium decline in the price segment in the El Dorado County real estate market in November 2010 compared to the same time during the past year. The per square foot price has come down to $139.23, about 8 percent less than November 2009. The flip flop in average list price and average sale price continue to be there and these slide marginally, around 4 percent compared to November 2009. But the median sale price has gone down $37,000, a whopping 10 percent decline. The overall decline in the price despite enthusiastic September and October trends are attributed to a sharp rise in November short sales compared to the same time in 2009.

Inventory Status

The average status of the inventory for the past 12 months indicates rapid foreclosure sales. The short sales and non-distressed sales have higher inventory. Non-distressed sales on an average have 11-month inventory sale listing.

El Dorado Real Estate Market Statistics, November 2010

You can see the tables following showing the statistical comparison of November 2010 real estate data from the El Dorado County with that of November 2009.

Unit Volume Data

Units Sold November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Foreclosures Sold 46 65 41.3%
(% of total units) 30.7% 35.9%
Short Sales Sold 18 44 144.4%
(% of total units) 12.0% 24.3%
Non-distressed Sold 86 72 -16.3%
(% of total units) 57.3% 39.8%
Total 150 181 20.7%

Price Data

Prices November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Sold Price / Square Foot $151.28 $139.23 -8.0%
Square Feet 2244 2336 4.1%
Average List Price $350,242 $336,585 -3.9%
Average Sale Price $339,565 $325,297 -4.2%
Median Sale Price $317000 $285000 -10.1%

Inventory (Based on 12 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 164 1203 7.3
Foreclosures 56 187 3.3
Short Sales 34 400 11.5
Non-distressed 73 618 8.4

Inventory (Based on 6 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 171 1203 7.0
Foreclosures 56 187 3.3
Short Sales 34 400 11.7
Non-distressed 81 618 7.6

Importance of Christmas Traditions in Our Lives

Every year, we celebrate Christmas with gaiety and fervor, and we have been doing so for centuries, but have we ever wondered about the significance and origin of Christmas traditions? Can we ever think of celebrating Christmas without Santa Claus, Christmas trees, mistletoe, or even holly wreaths and boughs? No. Spare some time to understand the myth behind these popular Christmas traditions to add to your celebrations.

Popular Christmas Symbols, Traditions We All Love

Christmas Trees: The gloriously bedecked Christmas trees adorn our homes on the eve of Christmas. Parents decorate the tree for Christmas with decorations, popcorn, and candy canes so that it is the first sight their kids wake up to see on the morning of Christmas. The evergreen oak tree, a symbol of good luck and fertility, has been used as Christmas tree since the Middle Ages. The Christmas tree tradition comes from Germany, where it was a symbol of good omen for all those who built a new home. Later, it became a part of the Christmas tradition, when people would begin decorating their homes with the tree during this time.

Holly Advent Wreaths: Holly symbolizes the return of sun after a long spell of winter.  People decorate doors or hallways with holly wreaths.  Originally this symbolized the coming of the Christ and create a festive atmosphere. Holly is believed to have been used in the crown of thorns, which, though white, turned bright red from Jesus’ blood. Wreaths are round, with four candles atop, representing the four weeks of Advent. The candle on the wreath is to show light to the spirit of the Christ. Three candles are alike, whereas one is of a different color. Three candles are of purple or violet color, whereas one is pink or rose. While the former color represents penance and sorrow, the latter represents hope and new life. White candles replace these colored ones for the Christmas season, resembling God’s eternity and mercy and symbolizing the fulfillment of time with the birth of the Christ.

Santa Claus: Children throughout the world love Santa Claus because of his generous nature of bringing them gifts on the eve of Christmas. Call him Santa Claus or Saint Nicholas, as he was known in the 4th century, the saint bishop was a great patron of children. He was immortalized for his generosity and benevolence. He would throw gifts in the homes of the poor just to bring some happy moments in their poverty-ridden lives.

Stockings: We believe hanging stockings in the house on Christmas Eve brings us good fortune. Children hang stockings for the Santa Claus to stuff them with gifts on Christmas night. Earlier, it was believed that Saint Nicholas threw coins from the chimney of the home of three poor sisters who were forced to live in penury as their father had squandered all his wealth. Saint Nicholas or Santa Claus felt pity on these poor sisters and, to help them, threw coins in their house, which incidentally entered the stockings left above the hearth to dry.

Cookies: Kids leave cookies for Santa to thank him for all the gifts and hard work on the eve of Christmas. Though the origin of gifting Santa is still in the dark, it all began in the 1930s. While naughty kids even try bribing Santa with cookies so that he brings them big gifts the next Christmas, the nice ones use them as a thanksgiving gesture.

Lights: Christmas trees look dazzling with the lights on them. But how we all began lighting our Christmas trees? It is believed that one December evening, on his return home, Martin Luther was mesmerized by the sight of the stars shining through the branches of a fir tree. This was a great inspiration for him to recreate the same lighting effect on the offshoots of a fir tree in his home. The sight bewitched everyone, and thus began the tradition of lighting our Christmas trees, earlier with candles and later with electric bulbs.

Carols: We all love caroling on the eve of Christmas, which is a great way to greet each other, show generosity, goodwill, and warmth, during the grand festive season, making it more memorable and special. However, the custom of singing joyous Christmas songs began in the 13th century, when St. Francis of Assisi sang songs of praise to revere the Christ child. Carols usually follow prayers and add a festive touch to the eclectic atmosphere.

Mistletoe: All of us love the custom of kissing under the mistletoe, which adds fun and frolic to the celebrations. A kiss means lasting friendship and deep love. No girl can refuse to be kissed under the decorated mistletoe during the festive season. Though it all began as an ancient Druid ceremony, it slowly took the form of a primitive marriage ritual, when a boy would pick up a berry beneath the hanging mistletoe and kiss the girl standing beside him.

These Christmas symbols and traditions have been making the festival special for centuries. We all love them as they add glory to the festival and joy to our lives. On this pious occasion, may God bless all with happiness, prosperity, and good luck.

Most Homes In Foreclosure In the Nation? Sacramento Not On the List

Sometimes we get so wrapped up in the numbers and statistics for real estate in Sacramento that we forget to take a broader view.  To peek out beyond our little village for a moment, we note that Sacramento is not on a recently published list of the areas with the most REOs (foreclosures) being sold.  However our nearby neighbors Stockton and Modesto did make the list, with Modesto leading the nation in this particular form of misery. 

Read the full story on the Housing Intelligence Blog.

Those of you who prefer your glass of poison half empty (or do pessimists see a glass of poison as half full?) will note that our own rate of foreclosure sales of 44% for November is well above the national average of 28%.

One interesting piece of data that this story doesn’t cover is the number of short sales being sold.  In Sacramento that number is much smaller (22.3%) than the REO number (at least partly because short sales are often fake listings).  Still, adding that number in might change the mix of winners and losers somewhat.

Sacramento Real Estate Market Update, November, 2010

Pessimists, Start Your Engines

In 2003 and 2004, those of us in real estate marveled at how the prices of homes shot skywards, seemingly with no end in sight and with no basis in the reality of how much people could really afford. In 2005 and 2006, of course, that trend reversed, and the period between 2007 and 2009 has been one in which there were occasional glimmerings of something that looked like a recovery, as if trying to tease us all into a premature optimism.

This year’s numbers don’t give me much cause for optimism. Other things do, like the fine job my agents are doing and how they worry if things don’t go 100% to perfection. That’s what makes them great agents. Or the continued goodwill and patronage of our buyers over the years, including this one. Or Santa coming. But the real estate numbers this month? Not on your life.

Price and Volume Are Down

Although the number of units sold in Placer County and El Dorado County have increased year over year, unfortunately both numbers are in the red in Sacramento County.  In terms of volume, 1433 units sold in November, down 4.3% from last November.  The decrease came largely from a decrease in the number of non-distressed homes that sold.  These are homes that are neither short sales nor foreclosures.  This category fell 13.6% year on year, while the number of short sales was down only slightly at 1.5%, and the number of foreclosures sold was up 2.8%.

Countywide, sold price per square foot (our favorite measure of true price) was down 6.1% in November, from $123.38 at the same time last year to $115.85 this November.  Since this year’s average sized home was 4.1% larger than last year’s (1631 square feet versus 1698 square feet), the average sale priced dropped a more modest 2.2%, from $201,259 to $196,814.

Once again, we have a small number of nondistressed sales and REOs (foreclosures) in inventory, at 3.9 and 2.5 months, respectively.  At the same time there are 11 months of short sale inventory to get through.  Part of this reflects the fact that we measure inventory as number to be sold divided by number sold each month, and in the short sale case the number sold each month is generally much lower than for other types of homes.  Today’s short sale buyer is often tomorrow’s “no, I changed my mind, I’m tired of waiting for the bank” buyer.

A Word About The Data

The data I generally use for these market updates is for all single family homes, including  “detached homes” (houses) and condominiums.  Because I include condominiums in the data, my numbers are generally several thousand dollars lower than you’ll find on other web sites that may feature Sacramento Statistics.

The raw MLS data for November is below.  Enjoy!

Unit Volume Data

Units Sold November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Foreclosures Sold 614 631 2.8%
(% of total units) 41.0% 44.0%  
Short Sales Sold 325 320 -1.5%
(% of total units) 21.7% 22.3%  
Non-distressed Sold 558 482 -13.6%
(% of total units) 37.3% 33.6%  
Total 1497 1433 -4.3%

Price Data

Prices November, 2009 November, 2010 Change
Sold Price / Square Foot $123.38 $115.85 -6.1%
Square Feet 1631 1698 4.1%
Average List Price $200,404 $201,857 0.7%
Average Sale Price $201,259 $196,814 -2.2%
Median Sale Price $175000 $170400 -2.6%

Inventory (Based on 12 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 1522 8055 5.3
Foreclosures 611 1475 2.4
Short Sales 368 4337 11.8
Nondistressed 546 2252 4.1

Inventory (Based on 6 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 1523 8055 5.3
Foreclosures 601 1475 2.5
Short Sales 376 4337 11.5
Nondistressed 549 2252 4.1

Placer County Real Estate Market Update

This year in Placer County the number of homes sold was down from last year, while home prices have changed very little during the same time.  The number of units dropped 12.2% from the 417 sold in October of last year to 366 in October of this year.  Foreclosure sales were down 33.1%, and the number of non-distressed units sold was down 17.5%.  The only category to show a sharp increase mirrors what we’ve seen in El Dorado and Sacramento Counties – the number of short sales jumped 37.2%, from 78 units last year to 107 units this year.

Home prices in Placer County have changed very little over the last year.  The sold price per square foot has fallen, but only by eight tenths of a percent, from $147.09 last year to 145.87 this year.  Since square footage was up slightly, the average sale price fell only one tenth of one percent (which works out to be less than $200).  Last October’s average sale price was $319,317, while this October the average was $319,124.

The inventory picture in Placer County is remarkably similar to Sacramento County.  There are 6.1 months of inventory overall (compared to 6.2 months for Sacramento County).  As in Sacramento County, the biggest category of homes in inventory are short sales, with some 10.9 months of unsold properties to work through.  Foreclosures make up the smallest category, at only 2.3 months of inventory.

Updated Sacramento Area Real Estate Listings for Browsing

Those of you who have visited this site over the years may be aware that we have basically two sources for Metrolist real estate listings working on the site. One source is updated daily by an automatic process, and this is the source that feeds our search tools such as our Advanced Search page or our Email Update page.  These listings are always no more than about a day behind what we as Realtors® have available in our MLS system.

Another source features the same listings, but is updated less frequently.  I am trying to return to my habit of updating it as I used to (about once per week).  (Now that I’m an extremely part time productivity guru,  that should be a piece of cake, right?).  This source feeds our browseable lists of of Sacramento area New Homes, our Sacramento Foreclosures Search page, and our Sacramento Condos pages.

I know, I know, it’s a little brain dead having to update some of this manually.  Believe me, I know – I’m the guy who has to do it!  On the other hand the local MLSs still have real estate listing data in a bit of a stranglehold, though since the justice department started sniffing aroudn the NAR, one might call it more of a “relaxed stranglehold” at present.  Now there’s an oxymoron for you.

In any case, I updated that which needed updating today.  Enjoy!

Being Too Busy

Why is it always the guy who has two jobs who’s reading up on how to be more productive?  Because he’s the guy who needs to.  The smart money is on being a bit more lazy, having more time do do the things you love, living your dreams, yada yada yada.  As for me, I wouldn’t know.  I’m too busy.

When real estate prices took their famous fall in 2005, there was a period of maybe two years where we had a little ant-trail of busy I-told-you-so types beating a trail to my web site, to say, as you might expect, “I told you so.”  The truth is that I don’t remember any of them telling anyone anything before that happened, but when it did, they imagined that they told me so, or they quoted the one or two guys who did in fact tell us so.

TheInternetIsHereCleanIn any case, whether they told anyone so or not, what they told me in 2005 was that I’d end up at MacDonald’s.  I remember thinking that was unlikely, since I’m one of those people who always worked too much.  Because of that, I taught myself programming when I was working as an administrative assistant after dropping out of graduate school.  That gave me one sellable career.  Later while working as a software developer, I taught myself real estate, which gave me me another.

Fast forward three years.  In October, 2008, you may recall, Congress ignored overwhelming and unprecedented majorities of constituents who wrote to them in opposition to the $700 billion gift to the junk mortgage derivative industry.  By that time prices had already been falling for a few years, and my income had reflected some of that, so I decided it was time to blow the dust off my other career, software development. 

I started back to work a week after I sent out my first resume.

I told you so.

Well, that was childish, but what can I say?  The Internet is here.

For awhile having two things going on worked reasonably well, until the woman I’d hired to help me manage this business quit, and until business started to pick up again as it has been picking up recently.  (I’m not talking about the market here – I’m talking about my company’s business, which tracks it broadly but not precisely).

Fear not, by the way, I still have full time agents, and I manage to supervise them quite well as the law and your expectations require.  Certainly they get more direct attention from the broker then I ever got at any of my other real estate companies.

However, now I find myself with too many escrows to have time to blog. 

Boo hoo.

I suppose that when Thanksgiving rolls around I’ll do OK on the thanking part, if not so well on the turkey.

So these days I have too much going on in my two careers to teach myself a third, though if I did have time, I’d probably go for working with my newfound interest, to be a Productivity Consultant.

One of the tips among the productivity gurus is to do your Most Important Tasks the first thing in the morning before the rest of the day intrudes.  Hence this blog post.

Do you feel special?

I told you so.

Sacramento County Real Estate Market Update – October, 2010

Here it is the beginning of November, and as usual at the beginning of the month we can start to look backward at the previous month of sales and tell you how things are going.  This is one of those economies where one looks at a set of data – house price loss, job loss, or what have you – and what passes for optimism is usually captured in the phrase “less severe than expected”.   It’s not that the not that the news is routinely good yet – we can all get out our crystal balls and pretend we know the answer to that one.  Instead, the news is less bad than we’ve sometimes seen it in recent memory.

So let me start with that.  Compared to many periods we’ve looked at since the turn of the market in 2005 and 2006, the losses we see from October 2009 to October 2010 were “less severe than expected” for Sacramento County.   Unit volume was down 16.2% from year to year, from 1711 units sold in October, 2009 to 1434 units sold in October, 2010.  Most of this decline was in the number of short sales and non-distressed sales, dropping 18.9% and 18.8%, respectively, while the number of short sales sold dropped only slightly, 6.1%.  As a result, short sales made up a larger percentage of overall sales volume this year, not buy much (21% of total sales last year versus 23.5% this year).  Short sales still account for less than a quarter of overall homes sold even though they make up more than half of our inventory, probably because most buyers get tired of waiting the three months, six months, or more for an overworked beaurocrat in a bank to open their file.

Home prices also fell from October to October, though very slightly compared to the overall volume.  Average sold price per square foot was down 2.5% during this time, from $121.86 in 2009 to $118.80 in 2010.  The average price fell 1.3% from year to year, from $200,576 last October to $197,949 this October  Meantime the median sale price fell a bit more sharply, from $179,900 last year to $170,000 this year (5.5%).

As a result of the decline in sales and the large backlog of unsold short sales (13 months of short sale inventory), overall inventory numbers have been creeping up.  Currently we’re at 6.2 months of inventory, or at the beginning of what is technically a “buyer’s market”.  Yes, I know, it feels like we’ve been there awhile, hasn’t it, but the arbitrary cut-off many author’s use to tell the difference is 6 months of inventory.  As we move into winter, we expect inventory to continue to increase slightly, meaning more and more choices for buyers.  Many of those choices are going to be short sales, however, so what this means for a buyer is that you should plan on looking and starting to write offers as much as three to six months or more before you’re planning to move.  You should also consider getting bank-preapproved for a loan, especially to help you take advantage of the small number of REOs in inventory (currently 2.6 months of inventory).  Be prepared for a “no” or two in this market, too, because you’ll be competing with cash buyers.

Sacramento Real Estate Agents — Help Wanted

Do you answer your phone?  Can you respond to your email within a few minutes?  This generally means – do you carry a smart phone?  Do you love nothing better than getting back to someone right away and digging in to help them to achieve their real estate goals?

If so, we’d like to talk to you.  Elite Properties is looking to hire a is looking to hire a limited number of outstanding agents / brokers who want to help us work with the many people who send inquiries through our web site.  Our web site is fairly consistently ranked #1 in major search engines for the term Sacramento Real Estate.  (Actually we’re number one in the non-sponsored listings – that usually makes us number 2 or 3 below the paid ads – but consumers usually click on non-sponsored links by a factor of about 2 to 1).  As a result, even with a very small number of agents, we’ve managed to keep plowing along during this crazy market, and our agents have reaped the benefits.

In addition to the opportunity to work virtual “floor time” that actually produces real results, we offer competitive splits, with a two-tiered split system that recognizes the higher value of the business you bring in yourself.   We all work from home and from our cars, so if it’s important to you to have a fancy office and someone to buy ink toner for you, we’re probably not a good fit.  We’ve noticed that most agents usually prefer to work out of their own homes anyway, and the kind of productive types we want aren’t sitting around for very long.

We only hire the most ethical, competent agents who have a strong customer-focused attitude.  Yes, you need to close business, but the type of agent we want does that by being genuinely helpful and very consistent in their follow-up.  Arm-twisters and brow-beaters need not apply.

If you’re able to contribute to this and our other blogs it’s a huge plus, and we’re willing to work something out to compensate you for it.  We’re not a big company, and I’m the sole owner and broker of record, so the amount of red tape you have to do to accomplish something creative is next to nothing.

If you want a broker who’s done something more than put a sign up to bring you business, give me a call directly at (916) 359-9218 and let’s talk. 

Sacramento Real Estate Market Update: Franklin and Freeport Areas

Our last Market Update focused on El Dorado Hills, one of the top three areas in our area in terms of price (the other two being Granite Bay and East Sacramento).  This week by way of contrast we consider an area that is on the lower rungs of the price ladder, the Franklin / Freeport areas.  Roughly speaking, these are the portions of South Sacramento that lie in the zip codes 95822, 95823, and 95832.  These were some of the areas that first felt the brunt of the foreclosure crisis, and that have pretty consistently been hardest hit.

The already low 2009 prices in this area fell 3.3% from September to September, from $86.97 per square foot in 2009 to 84.13 in 2010.  This brought the average sale price from $118,317 for 1396 square feet in 2009 down to $116,791 in 2010, a 3.9% drop.  Yet in spite of the price drops, unit volume also fell 33.7% from year to year, from a total of 193 in 2009 to 128 in 2010.  Part of this is probably due to the fact that many people don’t have jobs, and those who do are nervous about keeping them.  Moreover, banks are becoming increasingly tight in their lending practices. 

Another factor in the unit volume drop may be the difficulties of the sale process itself.  The number of sales that were short sales rose 20.7% from year to year, while the number of of foreclosures fell by more than half, from 100 last September to only 48 this year.  Like last year, we’re seeing very low foreclosure inventory (2.9 months as of September), with ever increasing short sale inventory (13.7 months).  (If you’re curious, non-distressed homes are selling well in this area, with only 3.8 months of inventory).  As most of my readers already know, the “short” in short sale signifies that the seller is short on funds to pay off the loan.  Short is a very ironic name however, considering that the long period that it takes to close these sales could try the patience of the most laid back buyer.

At various times over the last year we’ve seen sporadic signs of something looking like a recovery, especially in better priced neighborhoods.  We’re not seeing anything resembling a recovery in Franklin and Freeport now, but of course, the low prices means an opportunity for private buyers who plan to live in the area for the long term, and for those investors who can afford to buy and hold.  Although many investors steer clear of them, the potential for cash flow is generally much better on lower priced homes.  This is not the place to buy if you anticipate having to cash out within the next few years.

How Can Sellers Thrive In This Market

(This week I am very pleased to welcome my friend and colleague Alex Cortez, who has volunteered to do give us the following excellent guest post on what sellers can do to survive in this challenging and changing market).

In a volatile market riddled with distressed properties, sellers find themselves in a seemingly insurmountable position of competing with homes that are setting the price spectrum lower and lower. Here are a few tips that can help a motivated owner sell their property in timely fashion:

* Price – The biggest determinant as to how quickly a property will sell is its price. Yet many sellers are too emotionally involved and let said emotions cloud their perspective in pricing. Competing with REO’s and Short Sales means pricing accordingly, such that it will draw the attention of potential buyers. Also consider the way that potential buyers search for real estate: on the internet. Online searches are conducted (to large extent) in round numbers, so instead of pricing your home for $499K, price it at $500K (that way those searching for a home between $450-500K will see it, as well as those searching $500-550K).

* Seller Financing – If feasible, consider the possibility of offering seller financing. In today’s market, many otherwise qualified buyers are being left out in the cold by lenders who are now practicing unbelievably strict lending criteria. By opening the possibility of seller financing, buyers are further enticed to purchase a property for which they would not qualify (in part or completely) by conventional lenders. This is obviously not a pragmatic option for many sellers, but for those who can, it increases the pool of qualified buyers exponentially.

* Condition – Buyers who view REO’s (foreclosures) during their search come to the realization that REO’s are typically in poor condition, with many missing appliances, fixtures, landscaping and more. This becomes an opportunity for conventional sellers to further differentiate themselves from competing inventory by showing pride in ownership. In addition, staging can help sellers maximize property assets (i.e. window coverings that give attention large windows) and minimize flaws (i.e. a small room which is inadequate as a bedroom can be staged as a functional home office).

* Marketing – The days of the 4 P’s (‘Put a for sale sign’, ‘Put an ad in the paper’, ‘Put it on the MLS’, and ‘Pray’) are long gone and this is where it pays dividends to be represented by a real estate agent who is apt at marketing. With a large majority of potential buyers conducting their search online, it is imperative to be in the hands of an agent who has a strong online presence. Give it a try, go on Google and type in ‘Sacramento real estate’.

It IS possible to sell a property in today’s market, but it will take collaborating efforts of motivated sellers and knowledgeable real estate agents. Mahalo.

Guest blogger Alex Cortez specializes in Maui condos for sale and has in-depth knowledge of Maui REO’s and short sales. Should you have any questions about the Maui real estate market or wish to ‘talk story’, contact Alex.

Trying Out Comments

It’s been a long time since I’ve enabled comments here.  The noise to signal ratio was just so great, so I shut them down.  But a few people who I’d like to get comments from have remarked that we don’t have them, so I thought I’d try them out again, at least for certain posts, to see how things work out.

This must be the shortest blog post ever.

Leave a comment. :)

El Dorado Hills Real Estate Market Update

The real estate maket in El Dorado Hills in September is doing relatively well, as one might expect from the richest community in El Dorado County. Although the facile portrayal of the housing downturn as a product of sub-prime borrowers living in poor neighborhoods is an exaggeration, we have noticed that the wealthier communities have generally fared somewhat better in the market. To be sure, they have lost value, and to be sure, there are plenty of short sales and foreclosures to go around, but generally markets like East Sacramento, El Dorado Hills, Granite Bay and the like are the last to feel the downturn when it comes and the first to recover.

Certainly this is true of El Dorado County in September, where both unit volume sold and prices rose since last year.  To be sure, in the case of price the gain was not huge but in this market any gain is remarkable.  The average sold price per square foot rose 2.2% during this time, from $159.05  per square foot last year to $162.58 this year.  Cynics will point out with some justice that a 2.2% increase is not exactly a phenomenon, but any increase in this market is remarkable.  Because the average size that sold in September was 5.9% smaller than last year (3022 square feet versus 3210) the average sale price actually shows a loss of 3.8% — from $510,592 to $491,350.

Unity volume is up 13.2% in El Dorado County from last year, with 43 units selling this year versus last year’s 43.  Of these, 21 units were non-distressed sales, the same as last year.  The profile of the typical non-distressed sale, meanwhile, has changed dramatically, with a noteworthy 240% increase in short sales, from 5 units in September of 2009 to 17 units in September of 2010.  Meantime the number of foreclosures has fallen 58.3%.

Unit Volume Data

Units Sold September, 2009 September, 2010 Change
Foreclosures Sold 12 5 -58.3%
(% of total units) 31.6% 11.6%  
Short Sales Sold 5 17 240.0%
(% of total units) 13.2% 39.5%  
Non-distressed Sold 21 21 0.0%
(% of total units) 55.3% 48.8%  
Total 38 43 13.2%

Price Data

Prices September, 2009 September, 2010 Change
Sold Price / Square Foot $159.05 $162.58 2.2%
Square Feet 3210 3022 -5.9%
Average List Price $515,439 $514,254 -0.2%
Average Sale Price $510,592 $491,350 -3.8%
Median Sale Price $441500 $455000 3.1%

Inventory (Based on 12 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 50 466 9.2
Foreclosures 12 45 3.5
Short Sales 12 199 16.1
Nondistressed 25 222 8.6

Inventory (Based on 6 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 55 466 8.4
Foreclosures 12 45 3.6
Short Sales 13 199 15.1
Nondistressed 29 222 7.5

El Dorado County Real Estate Market Update – October 9, 2010

This month’s market update for El Dorado County showed that we had fairly low inventory overall coupled with too much short sale inventory, making for further price reductions since 2009. But while prices were down in Sacramento County, to the east in El Dorado County remained steady, changing a mere .2% from last year’s sold price per square foot figure of $146.63 to $146.99 this year.  Total unit volume is identical in both years.  In fact, you could hardly ask for a better example of a stable market (or a flat market, if you want to be pessimistic about it).  As for me, after the last few years I’m encouraged any time prices aren’t falling like a rock.

It also comes as no surprise that the number of non-distressed sales in El Dorado County compares favorably to that of Sacramento County.  The largest category of sales in Sacramento county in September was foreclosures (36.4%), and running a close second were non-distressed sales, at 36.4%.  In El Dorado County, however, 47.2% of the homes that sold in September were non-distressed sales.  To be sure, the number of short sales and foreclosures is still huge by 2004 boom-year standards, but it’s encouraging to see that the higher inventory in El Dorado County hasn’t done much to impact prices, at least over the last year.

Unit Volume Data

Units Sold September, 2009 September, 2010 Change
Foreclosures Sold 68 48 -29.4%
(% of total units) 41.7% 29.4%  
Short Sales Sold 22 38 72.7%
(% of total units) 13.5% 23.3%  
Non-distressed Sold 73 77 5.5%
(% of total units) 44.8% 47.2%  
Total 163 163 0.0%

Price Data

Prices September, 2009 September, 2010 Change
Sold Price / Square Foot $146.63 $146.99 0.2%
Square Feet 2207 2172 -1.6%
Average List Price $331,624 $333,870 0.7%
Average Sale Price $323,720 $319,326 -1.4%
Median Sale Price $286000 $275950 -3.5%

Inventory (Based on 12 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 162 1742 10.7
Foreclosures 55 251 4.5
Short Sales 33 512 15.4
Nondistressed 74 980 13.2

Inventory (Based on 6 months of prior sales)

Sale Type Average Sales Per Month Active Months of Inventory
All Sales 179 1742 9.7
Foreclosures 57 251 4.3
Short Sales 36 512 13.9
Nondistressed 84 980 11.6

Sacramento County Real Estate Market Update, September, 2010

Our market data for September is finally in.  I had to do some updating to the software that I use to crunch and display our market data, but now that that’s done we should be in good shape for awhile.

The housing numbers for Sacramento County for September are consistent with what Purva had reported for earlier months.  Most notably, we’re seeing more and more short sales closing with fewer and fewer REOs (Real Estate Owned, i.e. bank foreclosures).  This year the number of foreclosures that sold is down 27.6% over last year, while the number of short sales has risen 15.8%.  The number of non-distressed sales sold – sales that are neither short sales nor foreclosures), has fallen 9.6%, but seen as a percentage of total sales, non-distressed sales have remained fairly consistent year to year, at 35% of total sales last year and 36.4% this year. 

Overall this September was not a good month for sales, with unit volume down 13.2% from last year, representing 1666 homes sold last year in September versus 1446 homes this year.  Those who did hold off until this year to buy bought at a discount.  At $116.38 per square foot, sold prices this September were down 3.9% from the 121.06% of last year.  The median sale price is down 1.4% year over year, from $175,000 year to $172,500 this year.  (Remember that these numbers represent both single family homes and condominiums, so numbers for the average single family home will of course be higher).

Like last year, inventory remains extremely low for foreclosures at 1.5 months.  Inventory of short sales is high at 10.3 months.  Overall the inventory numbers are encouraging at 4.4 months.  4.4 months of inventory means that we’re technically in a seller’s market, but the high short sale inventory continues to keep prices low.

Star Trek Exhibition at The California Air And Space Musuem

img20100925_15375811Today I took my daughter over to McLellan Air Force Base in North Highlands to visit the California Air And Space Museum.  If you haven’t been out to the Star Trek exhibit there and you have a touch of geek in you (not that anyone on the Internet would fit in that category, mind you), you should definitely get over there.  You can walk through the guardian of forever or have a picture of yourself taken in the captain’s chair.  There’s your beloved real estate broker even as we speak playing Captain, with my daughter in the role of Lieutenant Uhura.

Bolding sitting around in a Hawaiian shirt.

One definite disappointment however was that they didn’t allow photography in the exhibit, lest anyone take photos that cost significantly less than what they were charging.  However, a camera is still worth toting along so you can take snapshots of other parts of the museum where photography is allowed.  You don’t want to miss your chance to take a picture of a Titan rocket after all, do you?  I didn’t think so.

If Sacramento has a downside, ít’s that it’s not well known for having lots of cultural attractions.  Indeed, one of the interesting things about Sacramento is that when you ask them what there is to do here, we often reply “well, we’re close to San Francisco and Lake Tahoe.”  But that said, every once in awhile you uncover a gem of a place. 

I found out about the exhibit by chatting up the check out clerk in the supermarket the other day.  You wouldn’t think by reading me that it pays to be verbose, but sometimes you get lucky.

Have a great weekend everyone.

Save Lives for Halloween: Sacramento Real Estate Twitter Clean Water Challenge

Trick Or Treat

You can help me save a human life by following me on Twitter.  Actually, I estimate that you can help me save between two lives and eight lives, depending on how you add it up.

Some of you may have seen the “Clean Water 4000 Lives Donation Button” on the right where you can donate money to build wells for people who are without access to clean TwitterChallengedrinking water, and you may have seen my earlier article about how giving another human being clean water to drink amounts to a charity “no-brainer”.

So how is following me on Twitter going to save human lives?   Well, all by itself it isn’t, but here’s the challenge.  If someone follows me on Twitter between now and Midnight, October 31st, 2010 and either mentions me (@JohnLockwood) or Direct Messages me with the words “Twitter Clean Water Challenge” somewhere in the message, Elite Properties will donate 25 cents to Water Aid America, and I’ll do it up to 1,000 times (i.e., I’ll donate up to $250).

WaterAid estimates that they can build a well to provide clean drinking water that costs, on average, $30 per person who needs it.  So optimistically, $250 would save eight lives.  (The WaterAid statistics page is worth reading).  What happened in England in the 19th century when they improved sanitation and access to clean water is that on average, life expectancy increased 15 years per person.  So if you imagine that someone in a third world country might live to be 60, you could pessimistically estimate that we’ll “only” be able to save two lives this way.

What a failure that would be, “only” saving two lives in time for Halloween.  Bummer.

So again, to participate, you don’t have to give any money.  All you have to do is:

  1. Follow me on Twitter (@JohnLockwood).
  2. Send me a message their with the words “Twitter Clean Water Challenge”, so I’ll know you’re following me as a result of this challenge.

“But John, I’m already following you, what can I do?”

As Ned Flanders would say, “well that is a dilly of a pickle”.  (Stupid Flanders).  OK, here’s what I’ll do, we’ll add another $50 to the pot for the people already following me, so if you’re following me already just send me a Twitter message with “Twitter Clean Water Challenge” in it.  If I reach my target for that group and new followers, that’ll mean ten people will have clean water who didn’t callout_twitter_challengehave it before, or you could say that together we’ll ransom 150 years of human life.  Not bad.

Hey Wait a Minute — Isn’t This a Completely Self Serving Way to Get 1000 Twitter Followers?

Well, it is a way to get 1,000 Twitter followers, that’s absolutely true.  The dirty little not-secret about this real estate site is that it’s run by a Realtor(r), and we as a group are notoriously fond of popularity contests.  As far as Twitter is concerned I feel like I’m losing this contest big time, because so many of my colleagues tweeted and retweeted and Foursquared their little hearts out much more than I have in recent years.  As a result, I just passed the 400 follower mark, while many of my colleagues are enjoying followings in the thousands or tens of thousands.

So are we saving lives here or just trying to help Lockwood promote his business?   The answer to that question depends on how cynical you’re feeling today.  The truth is that, while of course it’s a promotion, it’s also an attempt to do something good – because if it were just about working the numbers I’m sure I could buy a lot more than 1,000 followers for $250 bucks.  Indeed, spending about two minutes on Google, I found one site that will sell me 2,200 followers for $177.00 – or about 8 cents each.

So in a certain sense, if I were strictly mercenary about it, I’m overpaying.  But then again, one could say that people who care about other people are intrinsically more valuable.

Maybe This Will Help You Feel Less Cynical

Given that $30 can add 15 years to one person’s life expectancy, and that at 25 cents per follower I need 120 followers to get to $30, what that amounts to is that each and every participant in this challenge will individually save 45 days of human life.

If I’ve learned one thing about people in my years in real estate, it’s this:  everybody loves a bargain.

So yes, it’s true I’m a salesman, and like the sleaziest salesmen you can think of, let me say this:  Boy, have I got a deal for you!!

And here is that deal:  by writing four words and doing a couple of mouse clicks, you’ll give a fellow human being 45 days of life.

Come Back To Learn More

I’ll be blogging (and, of course, tweeting) about the progress of the challenge as we go along, so please stop by again to see how it all turns out.  I’m curious myself.

And oh yes, in case your curious, of course I’ll follow you back.

Anybody thirsty?

A Tale of Two Salesman – How to Win and How To Lose Customers

Recently I had experiences with two salespeople that reinforced my view of what we in the sales profession should and shouldn’t be.

The Great Experience

The first salesman earned my business and “sold me” (i.e., didn’t prevent me buying) something I didn’t already have, a smart phone.  It should come in a few days.  His name is Evan Souza, and he manages the Verizon Store near the Borders Across from Citrus Heights Mall.  He’s a good guy.  You should see him if you need a phone.

I walked into his store interested in the DroidX.  He greeted me and once I told him what I wanted to look at, he let me play with it for a few minutes then asked me if it would be alright with me (note:  he didn’t insist on it) if he showed me some of the features of the phone.  I agreed, and he did, and clearly he knew the product well.  I really liked the phone but I wanted to sleep on it for awhile and told him I’d make a decision soon.  He said something like, “That’s fine, let us know if we can help.”" 

Did you notice how he just sold me on buying the phone from him.  How?  Simple:  He sold himself by not selling the phone.  You can call this just being nice, or maybe you can call it “The Golden Rule”.  If you want a “salesey” explanation you can call it “the paradox close”" because it both is a close and isn’t at the same time.  It’s closing by not closing.  So I got his card and promised that if I decided to buy one I’d buy one from him.

A week or two later I returned to the store because I wanted to see the phone one more time and make up my mind.  I asked for him by name and he was behind the counter working with some of his employees.  He greeted me and assured me that anyone in the store could help me.  So I returned to the phone and played with it some more, and I had a question that I asked another salespeople there.  He answered my question courteously and then he shut up.  I had now been paradox closed twice by the same company. 

Now don’t get me wrong.  All this would have failed if the product had been a loser, but this was a wonderful product – nice big screen, an easy-to-use way to enter notes and emails (Swype rocks!) – pretty much exactly what I wanted.  But here’s the thing:  I could buy the same phone on Amazon.com or any one of probably a dozen stores in the area.  But I didn’t do that – I got my credit card out and bought it there that very day.  It arrives Monday.  I’ll let you know what I think.

My Horrible Experience

The other salesman managed to prevent me from every buying anything from him again after I’d bought something from him once and had previously been quite happy with it.  To avoid unnecessary cruelty I’m not going to mention him by name, but the background is that he owns the company that sells a software product that I already own and until recently was quite happy with.  Now I wouldn’t recommend you buy it on a bet, because if you do, [NAME REDACTED] might treat you to one of his special business-killing letters, which I reproduce in part below.

The subject of his letter (minus my company name and registration info):

“Please let us know why you didn’t upgrade”

Word of honor, I’m not making this up.  This is a teaser line in the negative sense, because it prompted me to ask myself, “Hmm, I wonder who this idiot could be?” His letter continues:

We noticed that this license was not upgraded to v10. We’d really like to know why.

You’d “really like to know why” I didn’t upgrade my product?  What compelling voice inside your tiny little head whispered that I was somehow obligated to hang around your web site waiting for the next version of a product I already own so I could give you more money?

We take user feedback seriously!

Fair enough.  Here’s my feedback.  Run, don’t walk, to this charm school and beg them to take you on, paying them whatever hazardous duty rate they should demand of you. 

Please reply to this email to let us know why you did not upgrade to [Software Product Name] Version 10.

Oh, I’ll do better than reply to the email.  I’m going to contrast you in a blog post to someone who knows how to treat people.

But my “favorite” part of his email is coming up.  He’s already irrevocably lost my business, but the point where he becomes truly flame worthy emerges here:

Also, please let us know if you would like a response back. If so, we will respond, but please allow us a few days to read and reply to all the feedback we receive.

His “thought process” on this must have amounted to “Obviously, I’m going to be incredibly swamped with a huge volume of people standing in line to explain why they’re terrible customers, but if you do manage to make it past my incredible stupidity and do what I clumsily asked you to do, I’ll get back to you when I feel like it.”

Mistakes I’ve Made

I’ve made lots of mistakes in my sales career, especially early on before I mastered some of the technical details of real estate transactions and before I learned to shut up and listen to the client.  The second mortgage on my house is a product of the “success” I had during my first year in the business. 

I started to make more money than I spent on gas when I finally took off the jacket and tie, relaxed, and realized that a good salesman was simply a good person who uses knowledge in a specific area to help someone decide to own – or not to own – a product that can benefit them.  So now that’s what I do.  And I’m so proud of my agents because that’s what they do, too.

Of course I still make my share of mistakes with people, but when I do I try to fix them right away.  I hope that even on my worse day I was never as bad as the guy in my second example.  And I hope that at least nine times out of ten I’m as good an example as Evan Souza, from whom you should buy a phone if you’re looking for a phone. 

If you’re looking for help with your real estate transaction, we’re here to help you with all the knowledge and skill we can bring to bear.  When you work with us to buy or sell a home, we don’t hound you forevermore asking you to refer us, but we do work very hard to try to earn them from you naturally.

Elk Grove Real Estate Market Update: August 2010

As elsewhere in Sacramento county, sales and prices are beginning to stabilize in the city of Elk Grove. Homebuyers are showing a renewed interest in short sales and foreclosure sales as well as non-distressed sales have fallen. 229 homes sold in all of which 40.6% – the majority – continue to be foreclosure sales but a close second are short sales at 38.9% of all real estate sold. The rest 20.5% are non-distressed sales. Foreclosure sales fell 27.3% year over year while non-distressed sales fell 24.2%. Short sales rose 46% year over year as buyers and REO banks are perhaps on the same page for the first time in a long while.

Average price per square foot also stabilized at $113.83 which is 1.1% higher than it was a year ago. Then it was $112.55. Average sales price for a home in Elk Grove is now $246,358 which is 2.3% lower year over year. It fell from a high of $252,062. Median sales price fell 5.4% for the same period from $242,000 to rest at $229,000 currently.

As Elk Grove starts reducing its short sale inventory, the numbers begin to look better – overall inventory is at 2.9 months, short sale inventory under half a month, non-distressed at 1.4 months and short sale inventory at 7.7 months.

Drinking Water For Children Dying of Thirst? Charity rating: No Brainer

I’m not always one to fall for every cause that comes along.  When PBS telethons come on, for example, I have no qualms whatsoever about changing the channel.  But I recently received this message in my inbox, and because it was too easy to use my voice here to pass it along and to urgent a plea to ignore, I reprint it with only minor modifications from the original.

There’s a widget in the right sidebar you can use if you want to make a donation.  And if you’re wondering, yes, already I did.

Over 4,000 children die each day due to illness from lack of clean drinking water. Our goal at BlogCatalog is to "shake you up" and unite you with other bloggers so that we can solve this problem.

Bloggers along with Bloggersunite, WaterAid America & others are working together to bring clean water to people who are dying because of dirty, unsanitary water.

Isn’t it unbelievable that over 1 million children a year die because they don’t have clean water; when a well can be built in a town for a few thousand dollars. WorldAid does this. They have simple solutions to this big problem. Bloggers can help and many already are helping.

If you haven’t joined or blogged about what they do, let’s help them do their jobs. The results are measurable and have a direct impact on whether a child lives or dies.

It’s so simple, and if we unite, and contribute we can help another person who isn’t as fortunate as we are. For far less than an iPhone, a mobile phone, when we come together as bloggers, as the "new media", we can save 1 million children’s lives each year.

Please make a difference and visit

http://www.bloggersunite.org/event/wateraid-a-burden-for-thirst

Pending Sales Rise

While we have been covering closed sales on this website in three categories of bank owned homes, short sales and non-distressed sales and have also been tracking housing inventory, one other indicator of how the real estate market is doing is the pending sales index. The Pending Home Sales Index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.

With reference to pending sales, there seems to be some relatively decent news. Following a sharp drop in the months immediately after expiration of the home buyer tax credit, pending home sales have modestly risen, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The pending homes sales index rose 5.2% to 79.4 based on contracts signed in July. It is however still 19.1% lower than it was in July 2009.

NAR chief economist, Lawrence Yun, however cautioned that there would be a long recovery process. “Home sales will remain soft in the months ahead, but improved affordability conditions should help with a recovery,” he said. “But the recovery looks to be a long process.”

Sacramento County Real Estate Update: August 2010

While I’ve been busy tending to kids almost all day long lately (and if you missed it, I’m taking up full-time mothering as my new profession at least for now beginning at the end of this month – reference John’s earlier post.) things in the Sacramento real estate market have not been stagnant although this month’s market update seems not too different from that of August 2009. Let’s take a closer look.

1596 homes sold in all in the month of August. 38.5% of these were foreclosure sales, 26.4% were short sales and the rest 35.1% were non-distressed sales. Buyer interest in short sales has risen since a year ago and correspondingly foreclosure sales have fallen. REO sales fell 24.3% while short sales rose 27.9% year over year. Non-distressed sales remained almost unchanged for the same period. Unit volume fell 7.4% year over year.

Average sold price per square foot is almost the same as it was last year. It is currently $120.25. Last year, average sold price per square foot was $118.98. Average sales price remained almost unchanged at $198,397 this August from $197,464 last August. Median sales price sits at $175,000 down 2.8% year over year from a high of $180,000.

Inventory in Sacramento county is currently at 4.5 months.

Sacramento Real Estate Blog: A Social Media Late Bloomer

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It’s been difficult to fit any Real Estate Blogging into my little schedule this week, between two jobs, chatting with friends in other countries, pilates, other exercise, and trying to sleep a bit.  Once upon a time to blog here religiously every day – of course that was before one job and the rest of it started to come together.

“Keepin’ ya busy?”  Yep.

One other thing that I find impinging on my time is something I thought would never matter:  Twitter.  OK, let’s face it, I’m still not sure if it matters, but I let it impinge on my time anyway

I am finally starting to understand Twitter.  The reason I didn’t really understand it before is that I kept thinking of it as where the content goes – and of course, from a content perspective, it’s a disaster.  To put it in terms that probably won’t show up on an S.A.T. exam any time soon, “Content is to 140 characters as a full course meal is to a piece of corn stuck between your teeth.”

Twitter isn’t about content.  Twitter is how many people follow you.

Ok, ok, before you get out the flame throwers, let me back up from this stark and cynical position and say some kind words about Twitter, in case it isn’t just purely a popularity contest.

Twitter is about:

  • Practicing kindness and generosity on relative strangers. You can say that’s from a Buddhist perspective, or say it’s from a Real Estate Sales Perspective.  Time will tell.
  • Tweet-ups, wherein real people actually meet each other face to face.  I haven’t been to one yet.  See the litany of time constraints, above.
  • Chatting pleasantly.
  • And oh yes, how many people follow you.

I was away from Twitter after barely setting up an account for several years, and was surprised to find almost 200 followers, presumably from RSS feeds from this and other blogs.  This started me on the relentless pursuit of more followers.  Ready, set, go man go. 

How to win Followers on Twitter…

(… as told by someone who has a very small number himself, especially in Realtor® terms.  Realtors® love a popularity contest.)

  • Be nice.  Of course, if what’s-her-name drops by you can be rude, but generally, be nice.
  • Mention others constantly.   Make lists, to be able to tell others you added them.
  • Be interesting?  Not sure that matters, unless you have a TON of time to devote to that approach.
  • Lather, rinse, repeat.

So Twitter doesn’t matter much.  But remember, we shouldn’t get so caught up in what matters to us most that we neglect to spend time on that which is truly insignificant.

And with this in mind:  follow me on Twiter.

The Sacramento Real Estate Gal Catches a Terminal Case of Motherhood

This weekend I learned that Purva Brown — your intrepid real estate reporter who has done a terrific job of keeping Sacramento’s oldest Real Estate Blog alive – will be leaving Elite Properties at the end of the month.  

Purva was always great to work with.  For example, I always appreciated the fact that she was able to put up with irate anonymous commenters better than me during those first dismal days of the real estate downturn – before the real estate downturn turned out to be “the good old days” before the real macro-economics freak show that was to come.

I’m very grateful to Purva for keeping the business going for me while I was out working in the software industry.  What am I saying – I’m still out working in the software industry, but now I have two jobs.  I think given the aforementioned recession, having two jobs is a bit ostentatious.   But please don’t hold it against me.  I try to be more lazy – I really do.  I can’t help it if I’m lucky.

Fortunately for me, this second job is made a good deal easier by the fact that I have very talented agents working for me.

Well, we all wish Purva the very best.  Now where did I leave that fax machine? . . .

Mortgage Delinquencies Continue

The Associated Press recently reported that one out of every ten mortgages had at least one delinquent payment this summer. The Associated Press quoted a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association which stated that 9.9% of borrowers fell into the category of second-quarter delinquencies as of June 30th, 2010. This is an obviously worrisome sign especially after delinquencies dropped slightly last year.

If you are a homeowner whether you are behind in your home mortgage payments or are concerned about upcoming problems making your mortgage payment a good place to start is the Making Home Affordable website. You might be able to get your bank to work with you to modify or refinance your mortgage or accept a short sale.

Although the number of homes in the foreclosure process fell slightly, other reports show that there were weaker than expected home sales this July and sales of new homes are at their lowest point since the government began keeping records in 1963.

New SAR Fund Helps Energy Efficient Upgrades

With this year’s summer being so much cooler than the previous Sacramento summers, you might not notice that you need more energy efficient appliances and windows but homebuyers of older Sacramento homes just might. Luckily for them (and homes built before 1978) there is help. The Sacramento Association of Realtors hoping to fix the reluctance of homebuyers from buying older homes has started a program funded with $234,000 to give qualified homebuyers $2,000 to make energy-efficiency improvements. While making these improvements can sometimes cost more than that amount, it can be a good place to start for many homebuyers.

About 6 in 10 homes currently on the market are estimated to be built before 1978. This program would also cover many on the foreclosures that are currently on the market for sale.

Some qualifiers: Homebuyers must use a SAR Realtor or lender, so the homes must be located in an area that a SAR Realtor or lender is qualified to sell or get a mortgage. The homebuyers must also get an FHA (Federal Home Administration) or VA (Veterans Administration) Energy Efficient Mortgage. These mortgages allow homebuyers to borrow up to 5% to make energy efficiency upgrades. These can include adding insulation, dual paned windows or new air-conditioning to an older home. The costs are rolled into the mortgage. The SAR program requires that a SMUD-certified contractor do the work.

This might just help clean up that short sale and foreclosure inventory, or at least help provide an incentive to many homebuyers who are relatively short on cash after buying a home.

Greenhaven Real Estate Market Update: July 2010

24 homes sold in the Greenhaven area in the last month of July. This is an overall unit volume drop of 20% year over year, consistent with the volume drop the last time we checked in November of 2009. Of the 24 homes sold, the majority (but just barely) were non-distressed sales. The rest 6 were foreclosure sales and 5 were short sales. Sales dropped 38% year over year for non-distressed homes and 14.3% for foreclosure sales. Short sales were up from 2 last year at this time to 5.

Average sold price per square foot is currently $154.32. This is up 9% year over year from $169.66 last July. Homebuyers preferred smaller homes by far this July with the average home sold sized down to 1738 from 1978 last year. Average sales price fell correspondingly to $268,277 from $335,676 last July. That’s a drop of 20.1% year over year. Median sales price currently rests at $250,000 a fall of 25% for the same period.

Real estate inventory in Greenhaven is at 6.5 months based on the last year of sales and 6 months based on the last six months of sales.

East Sacramento Real Estate Market Update: July 2010

More price stability but lesser people shopping for a home. As elsewhere in Sacramento county, the same mantra is true for East Sacramento as well. Just 30 homes sold in the East Sac area, an overall unit volume decrease of 34.8% year over year. The most marked change was in the category of foreclosure sales which fell by 50% year over year followed by non-distressed sales which fell 36.4% for the same period. Short sales remained fairly stable.

Not only were home buyers not looking a lot, the closed escrows seem to suggest that they were also interested in smaller homes. The average home sold in East Sacramento was 11.1% smaller this July than last July. This fact is reflected in the average sales price which fell 7.8% year over year from a high of $290,946 to rest at $268,335. The more accurate figure is the average price per square foot which rose 3.8% year over year from $212.07 to $220.07. Median sales price fell 2.7% for the same period. It is currently $253,000.

East Sacramento is just shy of 6 months of real estate inventory.