Sacramento Duplex Market - A Serious Buyer’s Market

Posted by John Lockwood on September 28th, 2007

We haven’t looked at residential income properties in quite some time, but last time we did, we found that the market for residential income properties in Sacramento County was a lot slower than the market for single family homes and condos. Sure enough, that’s still the case today.

Let’s take the case of duplexes. This August, one third fewer duplexes sold than last year. (The numbers are twenty units for last year and sixteen for this year). The average duplex sold this August for $355,969, down 4.8% from last year’s average of $374,021. The median sale price dropped 11.9% during this time, from $392,500 last year to $345,750 this year.

We don’t have figures for square footages or REO information on duplexes, unfortunately, so we can’t talk about those. However, inventory and the expired to sold ratios are the twin smoking guns that point to a market that is every duplex seller’s nightmare. There are 418 units in inventory, which works out to 18.7 months of unsold inventory based on average sales of 22 units per month. However, if you take just August’s sales as a basis, you come up with 26 months of inventory. Either way you slice it, that’s a lot of unsold duplexes people are trying to move.

The expired to sold ratio also tells a story of listings just sitting there. Last August the expired to sold ratio was 204.2%, meaning that roughly two homes expired for every one sold. This year the ratio is 318.8% — fifty-one listings expired and 16 sold.

Contrast these numbers to August, 2005, when duplexes were emblematic of the hot seller’s market. In that month, 78 duplexes sold at an average of $436,694.